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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Weapons Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Weapons Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Weapons Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

Technologies & Software

  • Recraft
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Napkin AI
  • Web browser software
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • SAP software
  • LoveArt AI
  • Delphi Technology
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • ElevenLabs
  • Runway ML
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Kapwing
  • InVision software
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Microsoft Project
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Midjourney
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Eko
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apache Maven
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Siemens NX
  • jQuery
  • Verilog
  • JavaScript
  • CapCut AI
  • Adobe After Effects
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Corel Painter
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Figma
  • DeepSeek
  • Minitab
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Microsoft Access
  • Udio
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Perplexity AI
  • Python
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Grok (xAI)
  • IBM Notes
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Email software
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Apple iOS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • C
  • C++
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • C#
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Autodesk Maya
  • Suno AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Personal computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Desktop computers
  • Laptop computers