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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Weapons Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Weapons Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Weapons Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Eko
  • LoveArt AI
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • SAP software
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Minitab
  • Verilog
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Adobe After Effects
  • InVision software
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Suno AI
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Kapwing
  • Runway ML
  • JavaScript
  • Autodesk Maya
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Web browser software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Delphi Technology
  • Recraft
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • C
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Microsoft Project
  • Apple iOS
  • CapCut AI
  • QuarkXPress
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Figma
  • Microsoft Access
  • Adobe InDesign
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Excel
  • C++
  • Apache Maven
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Python
  • Email software
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Siemens NX
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Napkin AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Midjourney
  • DeepSeek
  • Udio
  • Perplexity AI
  • C#
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Corel Painter
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • jQuery
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • ElevenLabs
  • Laptop computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Personal computers
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Desktop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors