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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Engineer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Engineer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Engineer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini (Google)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • InVision software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kapwing
  • Suno AI
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Udio
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Autodesk Maya
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Verilog
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • C
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • LoveArt AI
  • jQuery
  • Autodesk Revit
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • CapCut AI
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Microsoft Word
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Recraft
  • SAP software
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Corel Painter
  • C++
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Runway ML
  • Apple iOS
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Web browser software
  • Siemens NX
  • JavaScript
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Figma
  • Python
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Midjourney
  • IBM Notes
  • Eko
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • C#
  • Minitab
  • Microsoft Project
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Napkin AI
  • Apache Maven
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ElevenLabs
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • QuarkXPress
  • Email software
  • DeepSeek
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Microsoft Access
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Personal computers
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Laptop computers
  • Desktop computers