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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Engineer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Engineer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Engineer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

Technologies & Software

  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Minitab
  • Figma
  • Napkin AI
  • InVision software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Email software
  • C#
  • Corel Painter
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SAP software
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Web browser software
  • Apple iOS
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Adobe After Effects
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Kapwing
  • Apache Maven
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Eko
  • Suno AI
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Perplexity AI
  • Python
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • LoveArt AI
  • Runway ML
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Microsoft Project
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Microsoft Word
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Siemens NX
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • C++
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Midjourney
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Udio
  • IBM Notes
  • ElevenLabs
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • C
  • jQuery
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • CapCut AI
  • QuarkXPress
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Recraft
  • Delphi Technology
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • JavaScript
  • Verilog
  • DeepSeek
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Autodesk Maya
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Personal computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Compact digital cameras