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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mechanical Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Mechanical Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Mechanical Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

Technologies & Software

  • Apache Maven
  • CapCut AI
  • Email software
  • Eko
  • DeepSeek
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • ElevenLabs
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • JavaScript
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Minitab
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Suno AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Microsoft Project
  • C#
  • Autodesk Maya
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Kapwing
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Python
  • InVision software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Siemens NX
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Runway ML
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk Revit
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Web browser software
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Figma
  • Apple iOS
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Adobe Firefly
  • IBM Notes
  • Recraft
  • C++
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Corel Painter
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • SAP software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Napkin AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Midjourney
  • LoveArt AI
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • jQuery
  • Udio
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Verilog
  • Microsoft Word
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • C
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Perplexity AI
  • Laptop computers
  • Desktop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Personal computers