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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Roller Coaster Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Roller Coaster Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Roller Coaster Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

Technologies & Software

  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • CapCut AI
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Apache Maven
  • C++
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Recraft
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • C#
  • Eko
  • Microsoft Project
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Python
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Minitab
  • QuarkXPress
  • Verilog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • IBM Notes
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Autodesk Maya
  • Adobe After Effects
  • SAP software
  • Figma
  • Corel Painter
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • ElevenLabs
  • jQuery
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Midjourney
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Delphi Technology
  • Runway ML
  • Siemens NX
  • Suno AI
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web browser software
  • C
  • Apple iOS
  • Udio
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Napkin AI
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Finite element analysis software
  • InVision software
  • Email software
  • JavaScript
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Kapwing
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • LoveArt AI
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Personal computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Desktop computers