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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Product Developer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Product Developer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Product Developer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Illustrator
  • IBM Notes
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Apache Maven
  • Midjourney
  • SAP software
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • JavaScript
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • C++
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Verilog
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Project
  • Suno AI
  • Delphi Technology
  • LoveArt AI
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Autodesk Maya
  • ElevenLabs
  • Corel Painter
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Web browser software
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • QuarkXPress
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Kapwing
  • Microsoft Access
  • Minitab
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • InVision software
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Python
  • Udio
  • Perplexity AI
  • Recraft
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • C
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Figma
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Apple iOS
  • Finite element analysis software
  • DeepSeek
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Email software
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Siemens NX
  • C#
  • Runway ML
  • CapCut AI
  • jQuery
  • Eko
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Napkin AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Desktop computers