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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Product Developer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Product Developer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Product Developer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

Technologies & Software

  • LoveArt AI
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Python
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Figma
  • IBM Notes
  • Udio
  • Microsoft Access
  • Napkin AI
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Recraft
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • InVision software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Grok (xAI)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • CapCut AI
  • Delphi Technology
  • Minitab
  • Runway ML
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Eko
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Web browser software
  • Kapwing
  • Autodesk Maya
  • C#
  • Adobe After Effects
  • C++
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Siemens NX
  • Verilog
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • SAP software
  • JavaScript
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Corel Painter
  • ElevenLabs
  • C
  • jQuery
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Email software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Word
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • QuarkXPress
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • DeepSeek
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Midjourney
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Apache Maven
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Suno AI
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Project
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Apple iOS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Desktop computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Compact digital cameras