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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Product Development Specialist” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Product Development Specialist” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Product Development Specialist” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

Technologies & Software

  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • IBM Notes
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Access
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Minitab
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Autodesk Revit
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Autodesk Maya
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Recraft
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Delphi Technology
  • Microsoft Project
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Figma
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Verilog
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Web browser software
  • Midjourney
  • C
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Siemens NX
  • JavaScript
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Python
  • SAP software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Eko
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • jQuery
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Udio
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • QuarkXPress
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Firefly
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Suno AI
  • C++
  • Microsoft Word
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Napkin AI
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Runway ML
  • Email software
  • Apache Maven
  • Corel Painter
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • InVision software
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • ElevenLabs
  • C#
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • CapCut AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Kapwing
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Apple iOS
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • LoveArt AI
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Laptop computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Personal computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Desktop computers