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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Toy Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Toy Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Toy Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

Technologies & Software

  • Python
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Corel Painter
  • Runway ML
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Napkin AI
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Kapwing
  • Suno AI
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Udio
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • C++
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • C
  • C#
  • Microsoft Project
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • SAP software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • jQuery
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Autodesk Maya
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Eko
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Midjourney
  • Microsoft Access
  • QuarkXPress
  • Web browser software
  • CapCut AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Figma
  • Siemens NX
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Minitab
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Apple iOS
  • LoveArt AI
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Apache Maven
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Perplexity AI
  • JavaScript
  • Adobe After Effects
  • InVision software
  • Delphi Technology
  • ElevenLabs
  • Gemini (Google)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • IBM Notes
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Verilog
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Microsoft Word
  • Recraft
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Desktop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives