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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Motorcycle Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Motorcycle Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Motorcycle Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

Technologies & Software

  • Apache Maven
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • QuarkXPress
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Kapwing
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Runway ML
  • Microsoft Word
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Corel Painter
  • Napkin AI
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • CapCut AI
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Suno AI
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Siemens NX
  • Eko
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • DeepSeek
  • Email software
  • C#
  • LoveArt AI
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • jQuery
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Project
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Recraft
  • Perplexity AI
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Finite element analysis software
  • Delphi Technology
  • C
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Microsoft Access
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • IBM Notes
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Udio
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Web browser software
  • JavaScript
  • Figma
  • ElevenLabs
  • Adobe After Effects
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Minitab
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Apple iOS
  • Autodesk Maya
  • C++
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • SAP software
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • InVision software
  • Midjourney
  • Python
  • Verilog
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Personal computers
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Laptop computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Desktop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors