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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Surfboard Designer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Surfboard Designer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Surfboard Designer” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

Technologies & Software

  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Siemens NX
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Midjourney
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • jQuery
  • C
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Web browser software
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Corel Painter
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Microsoft Access
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • QuarkXPress
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Udio
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Verilog
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Minitab
  • InVision software
  • LoveArt AI
  • Runway ML
  • C#
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Suno AI
  • Figma
  • Autodesk Revit
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • DeepSeek
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • C++
  • Autodesk Maya
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • Python
  • IBM Notes
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • SAP software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Recraft
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Kapwing
  • JavaScript
  • Finite element analysis software
  • CapCut AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Project
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Napkin AI
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Apache Maven
  • Eko
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delphi Technology
  • Apple iOS
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ElevenLabs
  • Personal computers
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Desktop computers
  • Laptop computers
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors