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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Product Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #119 of 702. Estimated risk: 3.7%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Product Manager” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

36%

“Product Manager” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 36% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Commercial and Industrial Designers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Avg. Annual Salary $88,000
Avg. Hourly Wage $42.31
Available Jobs (US) 30,250
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Commercial and Industrial Designers #27-1021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Commercial and Industrial Designers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.

  • Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.

  • Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.

  • Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.

  • Supervise assistants' work throughout the design process.

  • Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.

  • Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.

  • Develop industrial standards and regulatory guidelines.

  • Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.

  • Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.

  • Coordinate the look and function of product lines.

  • Advise corporations on issues involving corporate image projects or problems.

  • Fabricate models or samples in paper, wood, glass, fabric, plastic, metal, or other materials, using hand or power tools.

  • Design graphic material for use as ornamentation, illustration, or advertising on manufactured materials and packaging or containers.

  • Read publications, attend showings, and study competing products and design styles and motifs to obtain perspective and generate design concepts.

  • Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.

  • Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Trimble SketchUp Pro
  • Adobe FreeHand MX
  • Adobe Illustrator
  • Adobe InDesign
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Sora (OpenAI)
  • Eko
  • JavaScript
  • Microsoft Project
  • SAP software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Adobe Creative Cloud software
  • Verilog
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Dassault Systemes CATIA
  • QuarkXPress
  • Figma
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Siemens NX
  • Corel CorelDraw Graphics Suite
  • Microsoft Publisher
  • Maxon Cinema 4D
  • 1CadCam Unigraphics
  • Xara Designer Pro
  • Chaos Group V-Ray
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • IBM Notes
  • Microsoft Word
  • Delphi Technology
  • Napkin AI
  • CapCut AI
  • Finite element analysis software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Autodesk Revit
  • Minitab
  • Web browser software
  • Siemens UGS NX
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • LoveArt AI
  • Autodesk Maya
  • Dassault Systemes SolidWorks
  • Adobe After Effects
  • Apple iOS
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DALL-E 3 (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Cascading style sheets CSS
  • Apache Maven
  • Midjourney
  • Recraft
  • Ashlar-Vellum Cobalt
  • Runway ML
  • DeepSeek
  • InVision software
  • Software as a service SaaS
  • ElevenLabs
  • The MathWorks MATLAB
  • C#
  • National Instruments LabVIEW
  • Autodesk AliasStudio
  • Hypertext markup language HTML
  • Kapwing
  • McNeel Rhinoceros 3D
  • Corel Painter
  • Python
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Email software
  • jQuery
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • C
  • Geometric CAMWorks
  • Udio
  • Adobe Firefly
  • Autodesk 3ds Max
  • Suno AI
  • C++
  • Perplexity AI
  • Compact digital cameras
  • Liquid crystal display LCD video projectors
  • Desktop computers
  • Universal serial bus USB flash drives
  • Personal computers
  • Laptop computers