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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Duct Mechanic” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Air Duct Mechanic” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Air Duct Mechanic” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

Technologies & Software

  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Procore AI
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Siemens NX
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Corte Certo
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Riveting tools
  • Plasma cutters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Cordless drills
  • Turning machines
  • Power punches
  • Protractors
  • Vernier calipers
  • Inclined manometers
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Power notchers
  • Rotary punches
  • Smoke testers
  • Scaffolding
  • Pitot tubes
  • Safety goggles
  • Nut drivers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Prick punches
  • Squaring shears
  • Rivet presses
  • Tap sets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Power routers
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Allen wrenches
  • Digital multimeters
  • Seamers
  • C clamps
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Ammeters
  • Squares
  • Dividers
  • Multimeters
  • Welding helmets
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Tempscribes
  • Pipe cutters
  • Hand dollies
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Angle grinders
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Spot welders
  • Dial indicators
  • U-tube manometers
  • Ring and circular shears
  • V-notchers
  • Power shears
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Drifts
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Beam compasses
  • Hammer drills
  • Scratch awls
  • Chain hoists
  • Welding tips
  • Tongs
  • Jigs
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Microamp meters
  • Velometers
  • Unishears
  • Riveting hammers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Power brakes
  • Circular saws
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Laser levels
  • Safety glasses
  • Caulking guns
  • Spirit levels
  • Ohmmeters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Hard hats
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Tape measures
  • Bumping hammers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Power presses
  • Calipers
  • Beading machines
  • Safety gloves
  • Laser printers
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Hammers
  • Hoists
  • Transit levels
  • Ladders
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • T squares
  • Setting hammers
  • Cold chisels
  • Drill presses
  • Foot shears
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Hole punches
  • Punches
  • Hand crimpers
  • Hand brakes
  • Oxygen testers
  • Welding facial shields
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Stencils
  • Straightedges
  • Hand notchers
  • Slings
  • Cutoff saws
  • Protective clothing
  • Desktop computers
  • Electric drills
  • Templates
  • Aviation snips
  • Dimplers
  • Stack thermometers
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Bandsaws
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Scribers
  • Center punches
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Scale rulers
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Laser cutters
  • Power sanders
  • Wire cutters
  • Set squares
  • Draft gauges
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Trammel points
  • Hacksaws
  • Easy edgers
  • Bar folders
  • Wiring machines
  • Plumb bobs
  • Polishers
  • Personal computers
  • Cleat formers
  • Micrometers
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Humidity sensors
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Framing squares
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Cleat folders
  • Slip roll formers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Combination snips
  • Portable spot welders
  • Burring machines
  • Millivolt meters
  • Power buffers
  • Nibblers
  • Psychrometers
  • Groovers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Chalk lines
  • AC welding power units

Alternative Job Titles