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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Air Duct Mechanic” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Air Duct Mechanic” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Air Duct Mechanic” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Spreadsheet software
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Office software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Procore AI
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Corte Certo
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Microsoft Word
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Ladders
  • Pipe cutters
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Pipe reamers
  • Spirit levels
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Hard hats
  • Tap sets
  • Hand notchers
  • Wiring machines
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Plumb bobs
  • Framing squares
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Smoke testers
  • Plasma cutters
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Micrometers
  • Bar folders
  • Hammer drills
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Aviation snips
  • Hand brakes
  • Angle grinders
  • Power sanders
  • Riveting hammers
  • Oxygen testers
  • V-notchers
  • Hacksaws
  • Stack thermometers
  • Power brakes
  • Laser cutters
  • Electric drills
  • Safety goggles
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Center punches
  • Foot shears
  • Bumping hammers
  • Cleat folders
  • Allen wrenches
  • Microamp meters
  • Combination snips
  • Ohmmeters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Turning machines
  • Burring machines
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Pressure gauges
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Hoists
  • Bolt cutters
  • Pitot tubes
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Chain hoists
  • Templates
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Laser levels
  • Portable spot welders
  • Slings
  • Welding facial shields
  • Squares
  • Hand crimpers
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Digital multimeters
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Calipers
  • Welding helmets
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Inclined manometers
  • Tempscribes
  • Power shears
  • Laser printers
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Hole punches
  • Set squares
  • Psychrometers
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Pipe threaders
  • Vise grip pliers
  • T squares
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Desktop computers
  • Circular saws
  • Spot welders
  • Safety gloves
  • Tongs
  • Trammel points
  • Groovers
  • Rotary punches
  • Tape measures
  • Nibblers
  • Nut drivers
  • Seamers
  • Cleat formers
  • Cold chisels
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Scribers
  • Scaffolding
  • Vernier calipers
  • Power punches
  • Dial indicators
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Cutoff saws
  • Dimplers
  • Dividers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Drifts
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Prick punches
  • Rivet presses
  • Setting hammers
  • Scale rulers
  • AC welding power units
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Hand dollies
  • Caulking guns
  • U-tube manometers
  • Safety glasses
  • Beam compasses
  • Millivolt meters
  • Multimeters
  • Power presses
  • Drill presses
  • Power routers
  • Slip roll formers
  • Jigs
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Straightedges
  • Power buffers
  • Hammers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Personal computers
  • Easy edgers
  • Velometers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Bandsaws
  • Ammeters
  • Riveting tools
  • Punches
  • Welding tips
  • Beading machines
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Stencils
  • Transit levels
  • Chalk lines
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Unishears
  • Squaring shears
  • Power notchers
  • Cordless drills
  • Draft gauges
  • Wire cutters
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Protractors
  • Protective clothing
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Polishers
  • Scratch awls
  • C clamps

Alternative Job Titles