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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dural Mechanic” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Dural Mechanic” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Dural Mechanic” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Siemens NX
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Spreadsheet software
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Buildots AI
  • Corte Certo
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Angle grinders
  • T squares
  • Protractors
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Millivolt meters
  • Riveting tools
  • Laser printers
  • Laser levels
  • Hoists
  • Power shears
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Bumping hammers
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Plumb bobs
  • Hole punches
  • Combination snips
  • Drifts
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Templates
  • V-notchers
  • Burring machines
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Polishers
  • Scratch awls
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Portable spot welders
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Microamp meters
  • Transit levels
  • Set squares
  • Oxygen testers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Personal computers
  • Easy edgers
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Multimeters
  • Straightedges
  • Power notchers
  • Prick punches
  • Electric drills
  • Turning machines
  • Punches
  • Safety gloves
  • Nut drivers
  • Power sanders
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Power presses
  • Power routers
  • Chalk lines
  • Smoke testers
  • Stack thermometers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Power punches
  • Dial indicators
  • Scribers
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Rotary punches
  • Scale rulers
  • Ladders
  • Drill presses
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Tongs
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Pitot tubes
  • Digital multimeters
  • Draft gauges
  • Cordless drills
  • Wiring machines
  • Welding tips
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Cutoff saws
  • Bandsaws
  • Micrometers
  • Welding facial shields
  • Wire cutters
  • Tape measures
  • Psychrometers
  • Ring and circular shears
  • AC welding power units
  • Safety goggles
  • Hard hats
  • Slip roll formers
  • Unishears
  • Plasma cutters
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Trammel points
  • Desktop computers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Tap sets
  • Spirit levels
  • Hammers
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Hammer drills
  • C clamps
  • Spot welders
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Beam compasses
  • U-tube manometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Stencils
  • Setting hammers
  • Cleat folders
  • Center punches
  • Bar folders
  • Hand notchers
  • Welding helmets
  • Chain hoists
  • Cold chisels
  • Cleat formers
  • Hacksaws
  • Hand dollies
  • Slings
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Safety glasses
  • Protective clothing
  • Tempscribes
  • Riveting hammers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Velometers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Beading machines
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Caulking guns
  • Allen wrenches
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Laser cutters
  • Groovers
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Framing squares
  • Hand brakes
  • Dimplers
  • Jigs
  • Scaffolding
  • Seamers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Foot shears
  • Squares
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Inclined manometers
  • Nibblers
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Squaring shears
  • Humidity sensors
  • Dividers
  • Circular saws
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Pipe reamers
  • Hand crimpers
  • Ammeters
  • Power brakes
  • Power buffers
  • Rivet presses
  • Calipers

Alternative Job Titles