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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dural Mechanic” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Dural Mechanic” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Dural Mechanic” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Spreadsheet software
  • JETCAM Expert
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Siemens NX
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Corte Certo
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Buildots AI
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Seamers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Polishers
  • Punches
  • Power sanders
  • Ohmmeters
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Hammer drills
  • Chalk lines
  • Scratch awls
  • Chain hoists
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Hard hats
  • Hoists
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Nibblers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Stencils
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Laser levels
  • Power brakes
  • Rotary punches
  • Calipers
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Velometers
  • Inclined manometers
  • Turning machines
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Scaffolding
  • Digital multimeters
  • Laser cutters
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Power shears
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Aviation snips
  • Ammeters
  • Tape measures
  • Humidity sensors
  • Protective clothing
  • Prick punches
  • Welding helmets
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Wiring machines
  • Dial indicators
  • Pitot tubes
  • Easy edgers
  • Power buffers
  • Cleat formers
  • Straightedges
  • Scribers
  • Circular saws
  • Beam compasses
  • Safety goggles
  • Framing squares
  • Groovers
  • Laser printers
  • Cordless drills
  • Rivet presses
  • Burring machines
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Desktop computers
  • Draft gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Plasma cutters
  • C clamps
  • Templates
  • Tempscribes
  • Beading machines
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Safety gloves
  • Ladders
  • Center punches
  • Cleat folders
  • Tap sets
  • Squares
  • Dimplers
  • Slip roll formers
  • AC welding power units
  • Welding facial shields
  • Pipe threaders
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Caulking guns
  • V-notchers
  • Setting hammers
  • Micrometers
  • Nut drivers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Trammel points
  • Bandsaws
  • Combination snips
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Power notchers
  • Slings
  • Stack thermometers
  • Pipe cutters
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Tongs
  • Unishears
  • Spot welders
  • Safety glasses
  • Plumb bobs
  • Hammers
  • Power presses
  • Hacksaws
  • Power routers
  • Set squares
  • Multimeters
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Angle grinders
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Spirit levels
  • Dividers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Millivolt meters
  • T squares
  • Welding tips
  • Hand brakes
  • Transit levels
  • Foot shears
  • Hand dollies
  • Riveting tools
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Protractors
  • Electric drills
  • Hand notchers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Allen wrenches
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Microamp meters
  • Bumping hammers
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Wire cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Jigs
  • Bar folders
  • Drill presses
  • Hole punches
  • Portable spot welders
  • Pressure gauges
  • Power punches
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Smoke testers
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Hand crimpers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Psychrometers
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Squaring shears
  • U-tube manometers
  • Riveting hammers
  • Drifts
  • Scale rulers

Alternative Job Titles