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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Sheet Metal Installer (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Installer)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“HVAC Sheet Metal Installer (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Installer)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“HVAC Sheet Metal Installer (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Installer)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

Technologies & Software

  • Siemens NX
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Procore AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Corte Certo
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Power brakes
  • Beading machines
  • Riveting hammers
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Desktop computers
  • Hand brakes
  • Squaring shears
  • Power shears
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Bandsaws
  • Stencils
  • Welding helmets
  • Power notchers
  • Jigs
  • Power presses
  • Personal computers
  • Angle grinders
  • Hoists
  • Slip roll formers
  • Stack thermometers
  • Tap sets
  • Bumping hammers
  • Microamp meters
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Framing squares
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Safety gloves
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Turning machines
  • Pitot tubes
  • Hand crimpers
  • Ammeters
  • Smoke testers
  • Velometers
  • V-notchers
  • Set squares
  • Scratch awls
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Multimeters
  • Unishears
  • Combination snips
  • Slings
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Draft gauges
  • Scale rulers
  • Nibblers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Transit levels
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Cutoff saws
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • AC welding power units
  • Spot welders
  • Rivet presses
  • Hard hats
  • Pipe cutters
  • Riveting tools
  • Protractors
  • Tempscribes
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Groovers
  • Circular saws
  • Chalk lines
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Laser printers
  • Dimplers
  • Cold chisels
  • Hammers
  • Scribers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Punches
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Welding tips
  • C clamps
  • Calipers
  • Caulking guns
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Cleat folders
  • Center punches
  • Straightedges
  • Power buffers
  • Prick punches
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Power sanders
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Humidity sensors
  • Setting hammers
  • Rotary punches
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Laser levels
  • Power routers
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Drifts
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Pipe reamers
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Bar folders
  • Millivolt meters
  • Pressure gauges
  • Safety goggles
  • Foot shears
  • Squares
  • U-tube manometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Ladders
  • Pipe threaders
  • Portable spot welders
  • Templates
  • Chain hoists
  • Drill presses
  • Allen wrenches
  • Burring machines
  • Protective clothing
  • Psychrometers
  • Dividers
  • Cordless drills
  • Hammer drills
  • Plumb bobs
  • Screwdrivers
  • Cleat formers
  • Wiring machines
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Nut drivers
  • Plasma cutters
  • Tongs
  • Dial indicators
  • Hand notchers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Polishers
  • Electric drills
  • Vernier calipers
  • Wire cutters
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Easy edgers
  • Spirit levels
  • Tape measures
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Inclined manometers
  • T squares
  • Power punches
  • Safety glasses
  • Digital multimeters
  • Trammel points
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Beam compasses
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Laser cutters
  • Hole punches
  • Scaffolding
  • Seamers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Hacksaws
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Welding facial shields
  • Hand dollies
  • Micrometers
  • Soldering furnaces

Alternative Job Titles