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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Duralumin Mechanic” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Duralumin Mechanic” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Duralumin Mechanic” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

Technologies & Software

  • Corte Certo
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Procore AI
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Buildots AI
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Microsoft Word
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Safety goggles
  • Power brakes
  • Hammer drills
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Hand dollies
  • Straightedges
  • Scale rulers
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Rotary punches
  • Drifts
  • Burring machines
  • U-tube manometers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Tape measures
  • Foot shears
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Unishears
  • Spirit levels
  • Stack thermometers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Slip roll formers
  • Beam compasses
  • Hard hats
  • Safety glasses
  • Setting hammers
  • Riveting tools
  • Desktop computers
  • Welding facial shields
  • Screwdrivers
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Caulking guns
  • Cutoff saws
  • Tongs
  • Chain hoists
  • Dimplers
  • C clamps
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Ladders
  • Framing squares
  • Drill presses
  • V-notchers
  • Trammel points
  • Hand notchers
  • Squares
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Personal computers
  • Laser printers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Aviation snips
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Easy edgers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Jigs
  • Center punches
  • Electric drills
  • Protective clothing
  • Riveting hammers
  • AC welding power units
  • Pipe threaders
  • Set squares
  • Welding tips
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Combination snips
  • Nibblers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Pitot tubes
  • Templates
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Punches
  • Cleat formers
  • Scaffolding
  • Dividers
  • Wire cutters
  • Rivet presses
  • Welding helmets
  • Humidity sensors
  • Squaring shears
  • Protractors
  • Turning machines
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Dial indicators
  • Transit levels
  • Bumping hammers
  • Allen wrenches
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Bar folders
  • Tap sets
  • Ohmmeters
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Power routers
  • Draft gauges
  • Multimeters
  • Hoists
  • Hand brakes
  • Power notchers
  • Circular saws
  • Stencils
  • Cordless drills
  • Scribers
  • Hacksaws
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Plasma cutters
  • Spot welders
  • Inclined manometers
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Angle grinders
  • Power punches
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Polishers
  • Power shears
  • Groovers
  • Portable spot welders
  • Cleat folders
  • Scratch awls
  • Hole punches
  • Tempscribes
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Laser cutters
  • Seamers
  • Microamp meters
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Vernier calipers
  • Ammeters
  • Plumb bobs
  • Psychrometers
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Hammers
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Digital multimeters
  • Beading machines
  • Power buffers
  • Velometers
  • Safety gloves
  • Power sanders
  • Bandsaws
  • Hand crimpers
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Millivolt meters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Prick punches
  • Calipers
  • Nut drivers
  • Laser levels
  • Bolt cutters
  • Chalk lines
  • Cold chisels
  • Slings
  • T squares
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Smoke testers
  • Micrometers
  • Wiring machines
  • Power presses

Alternative Job Titles