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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tinker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Tinker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tinker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

Technologies & Software

  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Microsoft Word
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Siemens NX
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Corte Certo
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Buildots AI
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Combination snips
  • Micrometers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Digital multimeters
  • Prick punches
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Pressure gauges
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Beam compasses
  • Chain hoists
  • Slip roll formers
  • Aviation snips
  • Allen wrenches
  • Hand notchers
  • Power presses
  • Hand brakes
  • Burring machines
  • Hard hats
  • Cold chisels
  • Hammers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Spirit levels
  • Drill presses
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Center punches
  • Polishers
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Trammel points
  • Setting hammers
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Protractors
  • Protective clothing
  • Laser levels
  • Smoke testers
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Hoists
  • Laser cutters
  • Hand dollies
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Turning machines
  • Ladders
  • Beading machines
  • AC welding power units
  • Rotary punches
  • Spot welders
  • Foot shears
  • Dimplers
  • Unishears
  • C clamps
  • Ammeters
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Scribers
  • Framing squares
  • Cutoff saws
  • Stencils
  • Slings
  • Humidity sensors
  • Pitot tubes
  • Wiring machines
  • Drifts
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Hammer drills
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Transit levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Welding helmets
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Bar folders
  • Nibblers
  • Power brakes
  • Templates
  • Riveting hammers
  • Power routers
  • Squares
  • Hole punches
  • U-tube manometers
  • Jigs
  • Straightedges
  • Tap sets
  • Microamp meters
  • Personal computers
  • Tape measures
  • Caulking guns
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Velometers
  • T squares
  • Hacksaws
  • Seamers
  • Scratch awls
  • Power shears
  • Portable spot welders
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Safety goggles
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Millivolt meters
  • Welding facial shields
  • Easy edgers
  • Hand crimpers
  • Nut drivers
  • V-notchers
  • Squaring shears
  • Rivet presses
  • Power punches
  • Pipe reamers
  • Set squares
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Multimeters
  • Ohmmeters
  • Screwdrivers
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Riveting tools
  • Power sanders
  • Desktop computers
  • Cleat folders
  • Calipers
  • Dial indicators
  • Pipe cutters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Electric drills
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Tempscribes
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Safety glasses
  • Draft gauges
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Dividers
  • Circular saws
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Vernier calipers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Safety gloves
  • Groovers
  • Welding tips
  • Power notchers
  • Tongs
  • Angle grinders
  • Inclined manometers
  • Wire cutters
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Power buffers
  • Chalk lines
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Cleat formers
  • Psychrometers
  • Plasma cutters
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Scale rulers
  • Bumping hammers
  • Punches
  • Scaffolding
  • Stack thermometers
  • Cordless drills
  • Bolt cutters
  • Soldering furnaces

Alternative Job Titles