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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tinker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Tinker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tinker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Windows
  • Spreadsheet software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Procore AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Siemens NX
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Corte Certo
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Buildots AI
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Tape measures
  • Combination snips
  • C clamps
  • Micrometers
  • Rivet presses
  • Hand dollies
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • AC welding power units
  • Power presses
  • Squares
  • Caulking guns
  • Beam compasses
  • Set squares
  • Scale rulers
  • Unishears
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Smoke testers
  • Bumping hammers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Stack thermometers
  • Inclined manometers
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Welding tips
  • Dial indicators
  • Hoists
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Hand crimpers
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Hand brakes
  • Drifts
  • Beading machines
  • Pipe threaders
  • Personal computers
  • Riveting tools
  • Ladders
  • Desktop computers
  • Setting hammers
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Laser printers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Punches
  • Tongs
  • Tempscribes
  • Power notchers
  • Hand notchers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Bandsaws
  • Trammel points
  • Aviation snips
  • Hacksaws
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Oxygen testers
  • Safety glasses
  • Humidity sensors
  • Electric drills
  • Power sanders
  • Jigs
  • Digital multimeters
  • Templates
  • Allen wrenches
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Welding helmets
  • Angle grinders
  • Rotary punches
  • Pipe cutters
  • Protective clothing
  • Polishers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Bar folders
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Spot welders
  • Multimeters
  • Scaffolding
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Easy edgers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Millivolt meters
  • Safety goggles
  • Protractors
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Drill presses
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Cordless drills
  • Pitot tubes
  • Scribers
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Cold chisels
  • Welding facial shields
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Psychrometers
  • Velometers
  • U-tube manometers
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Portable spot welders
  • Transit levels
  • Straightedges
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Riveting hammers
  • Stencils
  • V-notchers
  • Power routers
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Squaring shears
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Turning machines
  • Power buffers
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Laser cutters
  • Wiring machines
  • Burring machines
  • Center punches
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Chain hoists
  • Hammers
  • Groovers
  • Power punches
  • T squares
  • Cleat folders
  • Dividers
  • Draft gauges
  • Power shears
  • Circular saws
  • Foot shears
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Seamers
  • Plasma cutters
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Spirit levels
  • Chalk lines
  • Scratch awls
  • Microamp meters
  • Nut drivers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Prick punches
  • Laser levels
  • Ammeters
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Calipers
  • Pipe reamers
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Nibblers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Dimplers
  • Tap sets
  • Slings
  • Safety gloves
  • Cutoff saws
  • Pressure gauges
  • Hammer drills
  • Wire cutters
  • Slip roll formers
  • Hole punches
  • Power brakes
  • Ohmmeters
  • Cleat formers
  • Hard hats
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Framing squares

Alternative Job Titles