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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Sheet Metal Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Mechanic)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“HVAC Sheet Metal Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Mechanic)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“HVAC Sheet Metal Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Mechanic)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

Technologies & Software

  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Corte Certo
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Procore AI
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Siemens NX
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Microsoft Word
  • Spreadsheet software
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Power shears
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Tongs
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Calipers
  • Cold chisels
  • Hacksaws
  • Squaring shears
  • Tap sets
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Set squares
  • Scribers
  • Cutoff saws
  • Prick punches
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Power punches
  • Welding tips
  • Framing squares
  • V-notchers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Power notchers
  • Chain hoists
  • Hand notchers
  • Stencils
  • Power presses
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • AC welding power units
  • Micrometers
  • Circular saws
  • Power buffers
  • Turning machines
  • Inclined manometers
  • Transit levels
  • Draft gauges
  • Chalk lines
  • Hoists
  • Slip roll formers
  • Aviation snips
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Hole punches
  • Allen wrenches
  • Personal computers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Stack thermometers
  • Bumping hammers
  • Riveting tools
  • Rivet presses
  • Ammeters
  • Punches
  • C clamps
  • Pipe cutters
  • Scaffolding
  • Dial indicators
  • Beading machines
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Power brakes
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Unishears
  • Power sanders
  • Power routers
  • Polishers
  • Screwdrivers
  • Setting hammers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Hammer drills
  • Cold-cut saws
  • U-tube manometers
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Scratch awls
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Beam compasses
  • Riveting hammers
  • Nibblers
  • Microamp meters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Wire cutters
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Bandsaws
  • Dimplers
  • Pressure gauges
  • Cleat folders
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Dividers
  • Velometers
  • Nut drivers
  • Seamers
  • Spirit levels
  • Ladders
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Drifts
  • Hand brakes
  • Laser cutters
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety gloves
  • Hand crimpers
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Welding helmets
  • Hammers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Templates
  • Cleat formers
  • Burring machines
  • Trammel points
  • Spot welders
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • T squares
  • Wiring machines
  • Drill presses
  • Safety glasses
  • Portable spot welders
  • Plasma cutters
  • Cordless drills
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Groovers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Caulking guns
  • Easy edgers
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Slings
  • Pipe reamers
  • Digital multimeters
  • Psychrometers
  • Laser printers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Protractors
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Welding facial shields
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Bar folders
  • Millivolt meters
  • Electric drills
  • Squares
  • Foot shears
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Angle grinders
  • Jigs
  • Tempscribes
  • Oxygen testers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Center punches
  • Hand dollies
  • Multimeters
  • Safety goggles
  • Hard hats
  • Straightedges
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Smoke testers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Rotary punches
  • Laser levels
  • Pitot tubes
  • Combination snips
  • Scale rulers
  • Tape measures
  • Protective clothing

Alternative Job Titles