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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “HVAC Sheet Metal Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Mechanic)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“HVAC Sheet Metal Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Mechanic)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“HVAC Sheet Metal Mechanic (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Sheet Metal Mechanic)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Siemens NX
  • Spreadsheet software
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Procore AI
  • Corte Certo
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Buildots AI
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Microsoft Windows
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Drifts
  • Dial indicators
  • Plumb bobs
  • Plasma cutters
  • Groovers
  • Dimplers
  • Bar folders
  • Scribers
  • Seamers
  • Riveting tools
  • Riveting hammers
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Framing squares
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Safety glasses
  • Inclined manometers
  • Electric drills
  • Setting hammers
  • Hacksaws
  • Hand dollies
  • C clamps
  • Power buffers
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Aviation snips
  • Unishears
  • Spirit levels
  • Ammeters
  • Rotary punches
  • Laser printers
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Easy edgers
  • Power punches
  • Psychrometers
  • Chalk lines
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Scale rulers
  • Vernier calipers
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Pressure gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Protective clothing
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Rivet presses
  • Velometers
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Dividers
  • Hoists
  • Pipe cutters
  • Personal computers
  • Draft gauges
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Power presses
  • Power brakes
  • Spot welders
  • Tape measures
  • Tempscribes
  • Micrometers
  • Squaring shears
  • Safety goggles
  • Hand crimpers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Straightedges
  • Hammer drills
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Slip roll formers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Transit levels
  • Tongs
  • Hole punches
  • Nibblers
  • Multimeters
  • Hammers
  • T squares
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Calipers
  • Microamp meters
  • Wiring machines
  • Welding tips
  • AC welding power units
  • Drill presses
  • Ladders
  • Combination snips
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Center punches
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Laser cutters
  • U-tube manometers
  • Welding helmets
  • Millivolt meters
  • Caulking guns
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Bumping hammers
  • Hand notchers
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Nut drivers
  • Foot shears
  • Turning machines
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Portable spot welders
  • Beading machines
  • Jigs
  • Templates
  • Hard hats
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Power shears
  • Cutoff saws
  • Squares
  • Scaffolding
  • Protractors
  • Slings
  • Pipe threaders
  • Screwdrivers
  • Power routers
  • Burring machines
  • Angle grinders
  • Pipe reamers
  • Humidity sensors
  • Cleat formers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Polishers
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Stack thermometers
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Cold chisels
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Set squares
  • Chain hoists
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Bandsaws
  • Welding facial shields
  • Trammel points
  • Beam compasses
  • Stencils
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Scratch awls
  • Circular saws
  • Cleat folders
  • Tap sets
  • Hand brakes
  • Prick punches
  • Punches
  • Power sanders
  • Digital multimeters
  • Combustion analyzers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Allen wrenches
  • Cordless drills
  • Wire cutters
  • Smoke testers
  • Laser levels
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Power notchers
  • V-notchers
  • Ohmmeters
  • Safety gloves

Alternative Job Titles