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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Aircraft Sheet Metal Mechanic” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #453 of 702. Estimated risk: 82.0%

Directly assessed by researchers as likely automatable
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AI Exposure Risk

38%

“Aircraft Sheet Metal Mechanic” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 38% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Aircraft Sheet Metal Mechanic” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sheet Metal Workers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

Avg. Annual Salary $66,110
Avg. Hourly Wage $31.78
Available Jobs (US) 117,470
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sheet Metal Workers #47-2211
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sheet Metal Workers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Transport prefabricated parts to construction sites for assembly and installation.

  • Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.

  • Perform building commissioning activities by completing mechanical inspections of a building's water, lighting, or heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems.

  • Fasten seams or joints together with welds, bolts, cement, rivets, solder, caulks, metal drive clips, or bonds to assemble components into products or to repair sheet metal items.

  • Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).

  • Fabricate ducts for high efficiency heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems to maximize efficiency of systems.

  • Maintain equipment, making repairs or modifications when necessary.

  • Install assemblies, such as flashing, pipes, tubes, heating and air conditioning ducts, furnace casings, rain gutters, or downspouts in supportive frameworks.

  • Fabricate or alter parts at construction sites, using shears, hammers, punches, or drills.

  • Hire, train, or supervise new employees or apprentices.

  • Maneuver completed roofing units into position for installation.

  • Trim, file, grind, deburr, buff, or smooth surfaces, seams, or joints of assembled parts, using hand tools or portable power tools.

  • Finish parts, using hacksaws or hand, rotary, or squaring shears.

  • Lay out, measure, and mark dimensions and reference lines on material, such as roofing panels, using calculators, scribes, dividers, squares, or rulers.

  • Shape metal material over anvils, blocks, or other forms, using hand tools.

  • Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.

  • Fasten roof panel edges or machine-made moldings to structures by nailing or welding.

  • Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

  • Determine project requirements, such as scope, assembly sequences, or required methods or materials, using blueprints, drawings, or written or verbal instructions.

Technologies & Software

  • XY Soft Sheet Cutting Suite
  • FCC Software AutoPOL Series
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • WiCAM PN4000
  • Corte Certo
  • Procore AI
  • Siemens NX
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Applied Production ProFold
  • QuickPen DuctDesigner 3D
  • JETCAM Expert
  • Striker Systems SS-Profile
  • Merry Mechanization SMP/IS
  • Revcad Software Sheet Lightning
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • PTC Creo Parametric
  • Computer aided design CAD software
  • Computer aided manufacturing CAM software
  • Applied Production ProFab
  • Microsoft Word
  • Autodesk AutoCAD
  • Humidity sensors
  • Beading machines
  • Bandsaws
  • V-notchers
  • Dimplers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Laser levels
  • Computer controlled saws
  • Electric drills
  • Cold chisels
  • Combination snips
  • Hammers
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Cutoff saws
  • Squaring shears
  • Oxyacetylene welding equipment
  • Scribers
  • Pipe threaders
  • Portable plasma cutters
  • Slings
  • Pipe reamers
  • Drill presses
  • Box and pan brakes
  • Pneumatic riveters
  • Hand brakes
  • Safety glasses
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Bar folders
  • Pneumatic hammers
  • Strobe tachometers
  • Millivolt meters
  • Safety gloves
  • Spirit levels
  • Nut drivers
  • Hammer drills
  • Punches
  • Combustion analyzers
  • AC/DC welding power units
  • Prick punches
  • Wire cutters
  • Spiral duct machines
  • Vernier calipers
  • Tongs
  • Tempscribes
  • Personal computers
  • Computer controlled presses
  • Welding tips
  • Ohmmeters
  • Pipe cutters
  • Chain hoists
  • Magnehelic pressure gauges
  • Trammel points
  • Ammeters
  • Seamers
  • Center punches
  • Scaffolding
  • Setting hammers
  • Velometers
  • Nibblers
  • Inclined manometers
  • Burring machines
  • Psychrometers
  • Acoustic ear muffs or defenders
  • Jigs
  • Allen wrenches
  • Cleat formers
  • Hole punches
  • Desktop computers
  • Safety goggles
  • Smoke testers
  • Bumping hammers
  • Oxygen testers
  • Protective clothing
  • Power notchers
  • Scratch awls
  • Groovers
  • Cordless drills
  • Double seaming equipment
  • Polishers
  • Hydraulic presses
  • Hard hats
  • Pneumatic impact wrenches
  • Hacksaws
  • Microamp meters
  • Power punches
  • Digital multimeters
  • Tape measures
  • Plasma cutters
  • Aviation snips
  • Angle grinders
  • C clamps
  • U-tube manometers
  • Slip roll formers
  • Power routers
  • Dividers
  • Calibrated flow hoods
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Circular saws
  • Unishears
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Hoists
  • AC welding power units
  • Power shears
  • Turning machines
  • Hand notchers
  • Riveting tools
  • Power sanders
  • Pop rivet guns
  • Hydraulic hoists
  • Ladders
  • Squares
  • Power presses
  • Mechanical tachometers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 monitors
  • Tungsten inert gas TIG welding equipment
  • Wiring machines
  • Laser printers
  • Hand crimpers
  • Ball peen hammers
  • Pitot tubes
  • Plumb bobs
  • Foot shears
  • Pressure gauges
  • Welding helmets
  • Templates
  • Cold-cut saws
  • Set squares
  • Transit levels
  • Drifts
  • Ring and circular shears
  • Welding facial shields
  • Cleat folders
  • Caulking guns
  • T squares
  • Stack thermometers
  • Dial indicators
  • Beam compasses
  • Adjustable widemouth pliers
  • Side cutting pliers
  • Spot welders
  • Laser cutters
  • Metal inert gas MIG welders
  • Scale rulers
  • Rotary punches
  • Framing squares
  • Soldering furnaces
  • Easy edgers
  • Power brakes
  • Riveting hammers
  • Portable spot welders
  • Tap sets
  • Socket wrench sets
  • Straightedges
  • Multimeters
  • Rivet presses
  • Draft gauges
  • Micrometers
  • Stencils
  • Screwdrivers
  • Single-cut mill saw files
  • Calipers
  • Protractors
  • Power buffers
  • Hand dollies
  • Chalk lines

Alternative Job Titles