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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Firefighter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Plume modeling software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Email software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Axon AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Operating system software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • DeepSeek
  • Web browser software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Palantir AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Grounding cables
  • Hard hats
  • Escape respirators
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Aviation snips
  • Steel wedges
  • Mattocks
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Pulleys
  • Fire blankets
  • Tree saws
  • Water testers
  • Glucometers
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Fire axes
  • Handsaws
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Limb restraints
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Firefighting boots
  • Farm tractors
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Ventilation fans
  • Sledgehammers
  • Backpack pumps
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Bomb blankets
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Fire trucks
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Pry bars
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Open end wrenches
  • Protective fire coats
  • Extension ladders
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Backboards
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • First aid kits
  • Jacks
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Pinch bars
  • Two way radios
  • Torso restraints
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Halligan bars
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Safety glasses
  • Shovels
  • Surface thermometers
  • Parachutes
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Laptop computers
  • Air samplers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Circular saws
  • Geological compasses
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Listening devices
  • Personal computers
  • Drip torches
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Spotting scopes
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Handheld computers
  • Air chisels
  • Utility knives
  • Falling saws
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Aerial trucks
  • Flat head axes
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Pulaski tools
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Safety goggles
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • pH testing strips
  • Wind gauges
  • Chain saws
  • Scuba suits
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Glass cutters
  • Pike poles
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Face shields
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Fire shelters
  • Power pumps
  • Radio communications systems
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Cold chisels
  • Hand trucks
  • Riggings
  • Mobile data computers
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Pumper trucks
  • Safety helmets
  • Hacksaws
  • Life safety ropes
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Socket wrenches
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Navigation compasses
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Life vests
  • Foam pumps
  • Claw hammers
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Metal detectors
  • Life throw rings
  • Protective hoods
  • Water rescue boats
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Search cameras
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Fire hoses
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Picks
  • Ladder trucks
  • Single-bit axes
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Ambu bags
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Lug wrenches
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • McLeod tools
  • Pick head axes
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Wood ladders
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Safety flares
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Marsh rigs
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Body harnesses
  • Hydraulic rams
  • K-12 saws
  • Psychrometers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Hearing protectors
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Machetes
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Hux bars
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Protective fire boots
  • Scuba air regulators