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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tiller Worker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Tiller Worker” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tiller Worker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

Technologies & Software

  • Axon AI
  • Web browser software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Email software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Operating system software
  • Palantir AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Plume modeling software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Single-bit axes
  • Radio communications systems
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Water rescue boats
  • Safety goggles
  • Shovels
  • Torso restraints
  • Hard hats
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Pumper trucks
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Navigation compasses
  • Open end wrenches
  • Water testers
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Foam pumps
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • K-12 saws
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Life vests
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Firefighting boots
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Protective hoods
  • Pike poles
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Tree saws
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Power pumps
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Fire axes
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Life throw rings
  • Aviation snips
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Aerial trucks
  • Scuba suits
  • Circular saws
  • Mobile data computers
  • Mattocks
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Falling saws
  • Pry bars
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Farm tractors
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Backpack pumps
  • Cold chisels
  • Metal detectors
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Air chisels
  • Pulleys
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Extension ladders
  • Bolt cutters
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Chain saws
  • Bomb blankets
  • Safety helmets
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Ambu bags
  • Ventilation fans
  • Claw hammers
  • Machetes
  • Grounding cables
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Escape respirators
  • Lug wrenches
  • McLeod tools
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Utility knives
  • Backboards
  • Fire hoses
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Fire shelters
  • Personal computers
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Glass cutters
  • Halligan bars
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Glucometers
  • Laptop computers
  • Protective fire coats
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Psychrometers
  • Life safety ropes
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Face shields
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Wind gauges
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Wood ladders
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Hux bars
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Marsh rigs
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Riggings
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Safety glasses
  • Protective fire boots
  • Geological compasses
  • Fire trucks
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Parachutes
  • Fire blankets
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Safety flares
  • pH testing strips
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Hand trucks
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Picks
  • Jacks
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Surface thermometers
  • Search cameras
  • Flat head axes
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Drip torches
  • Handheld computers
  • Pinch bars
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Two way radios
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Air samplers
  • Pulaski tools
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • First aid kits
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Sledgehammers
  • Ladder trucks
  • Steel wedges
  • Socket wrenches
  • Body harnesses
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Limb restraints
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Hearing protectors
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Handsaws
  • Hacksaws
  • Pick head axes
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Listening devices
  • Ceiling hooks