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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Forest Firefighter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Forest Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Forest Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

Technologies & Software

  • Operating system software
  • DeepSeek
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Axon AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Web browser software
  • Palantir AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Perplexity AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Plume modeling software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Pumper trucks
  • Mattocks
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Backboards
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Search cameras
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Bomb blankets
  • Wind gauges
  • Foam pumps
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Personal computers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Tree saws
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Aerial trucks
  • Protective fire boots
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Stokes baskets
  • Torso restraints
  • Handsaws
  • Pry bars
  • Farm tractors
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Hacksaws
  • Machetes
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Ambu bags
  • Mobile data computers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Safety helmets
  • Chain saws
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Hearing protectors
  • Circular saws
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Ladder trucks
  • Fire axes
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Falling saws
  • Socket wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Wood ladders
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Picks
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Vise grip pliers
  • K-12 saws
  • Psychrometers
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Power pumps
  • Water testers
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Safety flares
  • Body harnesses
  • Grounding cables
  • Firefighting boots
  • Spotting scopes
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Hux bars
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Surface thermometers
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Pulleys
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Protective fire coats
  • McLeod tools
  • Pinch bars
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Water rescue boats
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Glucometers
  • Safety goggles
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Protective hoods
  • Backfiring fusees
  • pH testing strips
  • Open end wrenches
  • Life safety ropes
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Geological compasses
  • Handheld computers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Metal detectors
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Fire trucks
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Marsh rigs
  • Air samplers
  • Steel wedges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Pike poles
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Face shields
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Flat head axes
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Fire shelters
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Life vests
  • Scuba suits
  • Laptop computers
  • Single-bit axes
  • Drip torches
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Two way radios
  • Claw hammers
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Escape respirators
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Life throw rings
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Aviation snips
  • Extension ladders
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Limb restraints
  • First aid kits
  • Backpack pumps
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Air chisels
  • Shovels
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Pulaski tools
  • Radio communications systems
  • Utility knives
  • Jacks
  • Hand trucks
  • Cold chisels
  • Fire blankets
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Listening devices
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Lug wrenches
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Riggings
  • Ventilation fans
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Bolt cutters
  • Sledgehammers
  • Halligan bars
  • Glass cutters
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Hard hats
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Parachutes
  • Pick head axes
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Fire hoses