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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Chaser” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Chaser” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Chaser” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Palantir AI
  • Plume modeling software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Web browser software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Axon AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Access
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Email software
  • Glass cutters
  • Air chisels
  • Protective fire coats
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hearing protectors
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Wood ladders
  • Life vests
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • pH testing strips
  • Single-bit axes
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Metal detectors
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Mobile data computers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Mattocks
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Laptop computers
  • Geological compasses
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Hux bars
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Stokes baskets
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Sledgehammers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Safety goggles
  • Extension ladders
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Life safety ropes
  • Search cameras
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Ladder trucks
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Hand trucks
  • Cold chisels
  • Surface thermometers
  • Water testers
  • Aviation snips
  • Foam pumps
  • Limb restraints
  • Grounding cables
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Chain saws
  • Circular saws
  • Protective hoods
  • Torso restraints
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Spotting scopes
  • Safety flares
  • Safety helmets
  • Air samplers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Escape respirators
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Ambu bags
  • K-12 saws
  • Picks
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Handsaws
  • Aerial trucks
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Ventilation fans
  • Pulaski tools
  • Glucometers
  • Pry bars
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Wind gauges
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Steel wedges
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Fire hoses
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Utility knives
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Listening devices
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Fire shelters
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Backpack pumps
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Body harnesses
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Psychrometers
  • Pulleys
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Bolt cutters
  • Riggings
  • Fire blankets
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Bomb blankets
  • Firefighting boots
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Socket wrenches
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Claw hammers
  • Fire trucks
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Pinch bars
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Marsh rigs
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Flat head axes
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • McLeod tools
  • Water rescue boats
  • Fire axes
  • Personal computers
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Lug wrenches
  • First aid kits
  • Jacks
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Hard hats
  • Face shields
  • Pumper trucks
  • Open end wrenches
  • Machetes
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Protective fire boots
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Power pumps
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Pick head axes
  • Hacksaws
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Two way radios
  • Pike poles
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Drip torches
  • Shovels
  • Halligan bars
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Parachutes
  • Falling saws
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Safety glasses
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Handheld computers
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Tree saws
  • Farm tractors
  • Radio communications systems
  • Life throw rings
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Backboards
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Scuba suits