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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Chaser” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Chaser” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Chaser” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

Technologies & Software

  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Axon AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web browser software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Perplexity AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Palantir AI
  • Operating system software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Email software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Plume modeling software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Pinch bars
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Hand trucks
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Falling saws
  • Pry bars
  • Mobile data computers
  • Fire trucks
  • Search cameras
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Steel wedges
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Single-bit axes
  • Farm tractors
  • Ambu bags
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Claw hammers
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Parachutes
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Grounding cables
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Face shields
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Air samplers
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Aerial trucks
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Hearing protectors
  • Ventilation fans
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Protective hoods
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Pick head axes
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Life vests
  • Ladder trucks
  • Listening devices
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Extension ladders
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Aviation snips
  • Protective fire boots
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Navigation compasses
  • Fire blankets
  • Power pumps
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Water testers
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Wood ladders
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Two way radios
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Glass cutters
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Marsh rigs
  • Hux bars
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Spotting scopes
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Safety helmets
  • Glucometers
  • Safety goggles
  • Escape respirators
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Air chisels
  • Safety glasses
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Handsaws
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Life safety ropes
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Bomb blankets
  • Hard hats
  • Backboards
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Handheld computers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Safety flares
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Torso restraints
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Machetes
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Water rescue boats
  • Limb restraints
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Mattocks
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Chain saws
  • Fire axes
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Fire hoses
  • Wind gauges
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Shovels
  • Firefighting boots
  • Metal detectors
  • Psychrometers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Tree saws
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Radio communications systems
  • Hacksaws
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Riggings
  • Cold chisels
  • Foam pumps
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Air purifying respirators
  • McLeod tools
  • First aid kits
  • Halligan bars
  • Flat head axes
  • Pike poles
  • Fire shelters
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Sledgehammers
  • Jacks
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Pulleys
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Protective fire coats
  • Lug wrenches
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Pulaski tools
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Geological compasses
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Laptop computers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Drip torches
  • K-12 saws
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Surface thermometers
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Backpack pumps
  • Picks
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Life throw rings
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Utility knives
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Scuba suits
  • Bolt cutters
  • Pumper trucks
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • pH testing strips
  • Personal computers
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Socket wrenches
  • Open end wrenches
  • Circular saws
  • Body harnesses