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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Eater” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Eater” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Eater” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

Technologies & Software

  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Plume modeling software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Web browser software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Axon AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Operating system software
  • Palantir AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Backboards
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Single-bit axes
  • Bolt cutters
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Face shields
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Jacks
  • Laptop computers
  • Life safety ropes
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Socket wrenches
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Body harnesses
  • McLeod tools
  • Fire shelters
  • Circular saws
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Mattocks
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Backpack pumps
  • Grounding cables
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Utility knives
  • Geological compasses
  • Limb restraints
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Aerial trucks
  • Picks
  • Personal computers
  • Claw hammers
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Safety goggles
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Pick head axes
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Psychrometers
  • Lug wrenches
  • Chain saws
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Hacksaws
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Two way radios
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Ladder trucks
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Scuba suits
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Glass cutters
  • Escape respirators
  • Navigation compasses
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Wood ladders
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Wind gauges
  • Aviation snips
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Cold chisels
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Handheld computers
  • Fire trucks
  • Surface thermometers
  • Air samplers
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Search cameras
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Farm tractors
  • Pulleys
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Machetes
  • Falling saws
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Extension ladders
  • Fire axes
  • Protective fire boots
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Life throw rings
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Hearing protectors
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Pumper trucks
  • First aid kits
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Safety glasses
  • K-12 saws
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Hard hats
  • Stokes baskets
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Life vests
  • Flat head axes
  • Protective hoods
  • Radio communications systems
  • Halligan bars
  • Spotting scopes
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Handsaws
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Fire hoses
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Power pumps
  • Bomb blankets
  • Listening devices
  • Steel wedges
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • pH testing strips
  • Shovels
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Water testers
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Pinch bars
  • Fire blankets
  • Parachutes
  • Hux bars
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Torso restraints
  • Water rescue boats
  • Pry bars
  • Pulaski tools
  • Foam pumps
  • Pike poles
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Glucometers
  • Metal detectors
  • Riggings
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Marsh rigs
  • Tree saws
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Air chisels
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Open end wrenches
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Safety flares
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Drip torches
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Ventilation fans
  • Mobile data computers
  • Hand trucks
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Ambu bags
  • Safety helmets
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Protective fire coats
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Firefighting boots
  • Sledgehammers
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Insulated wire cutters