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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Eater” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Eater” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Eater” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

Technologies & Software

  • Palantir AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Operating system software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Microsoft Excel
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Axon AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Plume modeling software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Web browser software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Water testers
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Bolt cutters
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Flat head axes
  • Air samplers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Mobile data computers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Shovels
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Pulleys
  • Scuba suits
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Farm tractors
  • Fire axes
  • Laptop computers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Body harnesses
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Listening devices
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Fire shelters
  • Hard hats
  • Protective fire coats
  • Water rescue boats
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Face shields
  • Radio communications systems
  • Life throw rings
  • pH testing strips
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Aviation snips
  • Socket wrenches
  • Safety goggles
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Jacks
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Search cameras
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Parachutes
  • Fire trucks
  • Handsaws
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Claw hammers
  • Firefighting boots
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Single-bit axes
  • Spotting scopes
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Limb restraints
  • Safety flares
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Glucometers
  • Cold chisels
  • Circular saws
  • Open end wrenches
  • Fire hoses
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Air chisels
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Backpack pumps
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Halligan bars
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Marsh rigs
  • Protective hoods
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Metal detectors
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Fire blankets
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Protective fire boots
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Chain saws
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Ambu bags
  • Copper grounding cables
  • First aid kits
  • Mattocks
  • Pulaski tools
  • Falling saws
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Hearing protectors
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Torso restraints
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Geological compasses
  • Pick head axes
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Pumper trucks
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Pry bars
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Lug wrenches
  • Extension ladders
  • Backboards
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Machetes
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Personal computers
  • Hand trucks
  • Surface thermometers
  • Tree saws
  • Hux bars
  • Wood ladders
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Glass cutters
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Utility knives
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Handheld computers
  • Foam pumps
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Pinch bars
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Wind gauges
  • Steel wedges
  • Two way radios
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Bomb blankets
  • Picks
  • Safety helmets
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Power pumps
  • K-12 saws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Life vests
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Ladder trucks
  • McLeod tools
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Escape respirators
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Hacksaws
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Aerial trucks
  • Pike poles
  • Life safety ropes
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Sledgehammers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Drip torches
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Ventilation fans
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Safety glasses
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Psychrometers
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Riggings
  • Grounding cables