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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Eater” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Eater” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Eater” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Palantir AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Email software
  • Axon AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Plume modeling software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Operating system software
  • DeepSeek
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Circular saws
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Pick head axes
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Hand trucks
  • Protective hoods
  • Limb restraints
  • Life vests
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Ambu bags
  • McLeod tools
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Single-bit axes
  • Pulleys
  • Halligan bars
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Firefighting boots
  • Mobile data computers
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Surface thermometers
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Hard hats
  • Safety helmets
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Protective fire coats
  • Steel wedges
  • Pulaski tools
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Aerial trucks
  • Wind gauges
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Backboards
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Smoke ejectors
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Fire shelters
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Spotting scopes
  • Handheld computers
  • K-12 saws
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Two way radios
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Body harnesses
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Foam pumps
  • Lug wrenches
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Tree saws
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Life throw rings
  • Cold chisels
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Wood ladders
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Hux bars
  • Pumper trucks
  • Glucometers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Metal detectors
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Utility knives
  • Fire hoses
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Hacksaws
  • Bomb blankets
  • Geological compasses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Water rescue boats
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Torso restraints
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Life safety ropes
  • Falling saws
  • Chain saws
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Picks
  • Water testers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • First aid kits
  • Safety glasses
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Pinch bars
  • Claw hammers
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Psychrometers
  • Air samplers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Handsaws
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Search cameras
  • Flat head axes
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Extension ladders
  • Personal computers
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Backpack pumps
  • Mattocks
  • Fire axes
  • Safety flares
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Shovels
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Scuba suits
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Socket wrenches
  • Jacks
  • Navigation compasses
  • Face shields
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Air chisels
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Pry bars
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Radio communications systems
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Protective fire boots
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Riggings
  • Hearing protectors
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Safety goggles
  • Power pumps
  • Parachutes
  • pH testing strips
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Fire blankets
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Ventilation fans
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Machetes
  • Pike poles
  • Laptop computers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Grounding cables
  • Aviation snips
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Escape respirators
  • Marsh rigs
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Drip torches
  • Glass cutters
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Listening devices
  • Ladder trucks
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Farm tractors
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Fire trucks
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches