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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Fireman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Fireman” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Fireman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

Technologies & Software

  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Axon AI
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Access
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Email software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Plume modeling software
  • Web browser software
  • Palantir AI
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Extension ladders
  • Utility knives
  • Pike poles
  • Flat head axes
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Backpack pumps
  • Riggings
  • Pulaski tools
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Fire hoses
  • Metal detectors
  • Parachutes
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Geological compasses
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Safety goggles
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Firefighting boots
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Hux bars
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Torso restraints
  • Radio communications systems
  • Mobile data computers
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Pry bars
  • Aerial trucks
  • Wood ladders
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Halligan bars
  • Open end wrenches
  • Wind gauges
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Cold chisels
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Mattocks
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Power pumps
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Jacks
  • Fire blankets
  • Water testers
  • Air samplers
  • Falling saws
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Safety helmets
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Handheld computers
  • Life throw rings
  • Hearing protectors
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Drip torches
  • Fire axes
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Navigation compasses
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • K-12 saws
  • Two way radios
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Bolt cutters
  • First aid kits
  • Pinch bars
  • Safety glasses
  • Circular saws
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Water rescue boats
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Shovels
  • Bomb blankets
  • Hacksaws
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Protective fire coats
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Ambu bags
  • Spotting scopes
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Handsaws
  • Pumper trucks
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Protective hoods
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Protective fire boots
  • Tree saws
  • Escape respirators
  • Ladder trucks
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Chain saws
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Fire trucks
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Personal computers
  • Machetes
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Glucometers
  • Fire shelters
  • Glass cutters
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Hand trucks
  • Pulleys
  • Safety flares
  • Picks
  • Air chisels
  • Gas-powered generators
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Farm tractors
  • Body harnesses
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • pH testing strips
  • Backboards
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Listening devices
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Face shields
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Lug wrenches
  • Search cameras
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Single-bit axes
  • Sledgehammers
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Scuba suits
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Laptop computers
  • Socket wrenches
  • Limb restraints
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Hard hats
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Psychrometers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Foam pumps
  • Pick head axes
  • Life safety ropes
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Claw hammers
  • Grounding cables
  • Life vests
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Ventilation fans
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Emergency suction kits
  • McLeod tools
  • Stokes baskets
  • Surface thermometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Steel wedges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Marsh rigs