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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tiller Man” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Tiller Man” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tiller Man” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

Technologies & Software

  • Web browser software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • DeepSeek
  • Axon AI
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Operating system software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Palantir AI
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Perplexity AI
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Plume modeling software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Glass cutters
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Fire blankets
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Grounding cables
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Hux bars
  • Life throw rings
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Hard hats
  • Life safety ropes
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Two way radios
  • Safety glasses
  • Mattocks
  • Tree saws
  • Air chisels
  • Pick head axes
  • Riggings
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Ladder trucks
  • Safety goggles
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Lug wrenches
  • Fire axes
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Fire trucks
  • Protective fire coats
  • Safety helmets
  • Air samplers
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Jacks
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Wind gauges
  • Wood ladders
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Limb restraints
  • Surface thermometers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Falling saws
  • Pulleys
  • Bomb blankets
  • Listening devices
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • McLeod tools
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Pulaski tools
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Drip torches
  • Protective hoods
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Geological compasses
  • Water rescue boats
  • pH testing strips
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Handsaws
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Pipe wrenches
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Pike poles
  • Laptop computers
  • Pinch bars
  • Safety flares
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Halligan bars
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Foam pumps
  • Ambu bags
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Protective fire boots
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Stokes baskets
  • Aviation snips
  • Socket wrenches
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Machetes
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Picks
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Torso restraints
  • Psychrometers
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Claw hammers
  • Life vests
  • Metal detectors
  • Sledgehammers
  • Extension ladders
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Scuba suits
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • First aid kits
  • Open end wrenches
  • Ventilation fans
  • Pumper trucks
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Shovels
  • Backboards
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Utility knives
  • Circular saws
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Steel wedges
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Search cameras
  • Radio communications systems
  • Hand trucks
  • Marsh rigs
  • Navigation compasses
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Fire shelters
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Parachutes
  • Face shields
  • Backpack pumps
  • Firefighting boots
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Single-bit axes
  • Personal computers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Chain saws
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Handheld computers
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Escape respirators
  • Pry bars
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Hearing protectors
  • Flat head axes
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Aerial trucks
  • Fire hoses
  • Hacksaws
  • Power pumps
  • Water testers
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Farm tractors
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Body harnesses
  • Mobile data computers
  • K-12 saws
  • Glucometers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Wildland fire engines