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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tiller Man” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Tiller Man” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tiller Man” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

Technologies & Software

  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Axon AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Palantir AI
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Operating system software
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Email software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Perplexity AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Plume modeling software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Foam pumps
  • Machetes
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Pumper trucks
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Power pumps
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Farm tractors
  • Chain saws
  • Air purifying respirators
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • pH testing strips
  • Water testers
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Socket wrenches
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Air samplers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Fire trucks
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Slip joint pliers
  • McLeod tools
  • Hacksaws
  • Life vests
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Glucometers
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Geological compasses
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Ambu bags
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Ventilation fans
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Flat head axes
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Mattocks
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Lug wrenches
  • Handsaws
  • Search cameras
  • Pry bars
  • Wood ladders
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Water rescue boats
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Drip torches
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Handheld computers
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Riggings
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Falling saws
  • Life safety ropes
  • Fire blankets
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Bomb blankets
  • Fire axes
  • Marsh rigs
  • Hux bars
  • Backpack pumps
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Stokes baskets
  • Pulleys
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Body harnesses
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • First aid kits
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Grounding cables
  • Torso restraints
  • Glass cutters
  • Cold chisels
  • Open end wrenches
  • Surface thermometers
  • Pick head axes
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Tree saws
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Scuba suits
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Radio communications systems
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Bolt cutters
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Protective hoods
  • Aviation snips
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Spotting scopes
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Jacks
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Safety goggles
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Claw hammers
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Laptop computers
  • Air chisels
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Listening devices
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Two way radios
  • Single-bit axes
  • Picks
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Wind gauges
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Hearing protectors
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Protective fire coats
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Utility knives
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Mobile data computers
  • Safety helmets
  • Halligan bars
  • Limb restraints
  • Hard hats
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Shovels
  • Pulaski tools
  • Ladder trucks
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Backboards
  • Fire shelters
  • Hand trucks
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Circular saws
  • Fire hoses
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Face shields
  • Pike poles
  • Metal detectors
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • K-12 saws
  • Firefighting boots
  • Protective fire boots
  • Safety flares
  • Aerial trucks
  • Extension ladders
  • Escape respirators
  • Steel wedges
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Pinch bars
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Personal computers
  • Psychrometers
  • Parachutes
  • Life throw rings