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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Hot Shot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Hot Shot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Hot Shot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

Technologies & Software

  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Email software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Palantir AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Axon AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Plume modeling software
  • Web browser software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Operating system software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Handheld computers
  • Power pumps
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Backpack pumps
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Wind gauges
  • Listening devices
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Drip torches
  • Limb restraints
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Safety goggles
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Flat head axes
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Ambu bags
  • Pike poles
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Falling saws
  • Radio communications systems
  • Mattocks
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • pH testing strips
  • Stokes baskets
  • Firefighting boots
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Metal detectors
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Ventilation fans
  • Riggings
  • Pulaski tools
  • Safety helmets
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Sledgehammers
  • Circular saws
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Parachutes
  • Pulleys
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Tree saws
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Bomb blankets
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Safety flares
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Chain saws
  • Bolt cutters
  • Search cameras
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Cold chisels
  • Fire axes
  • Water rescue boats
  • Lug wrenches
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Protective fire boots
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Handsaws
  • Ladder trucks
  • Body harnesses
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Backboards
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Life throw rings
  • Surface thermometers
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Aerial trucks
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Halligan bars
  • Life safety ropes
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Protective fire coats
  • K-12 saws
  • Socket wrenches
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Scuba suits
  • Hux bars
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Pry bars
  • Picks
  • Glucometers
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Fire blankets
  • Farm tractors
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Glass cutters
  • Face shields
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Geological compasses
  • Pinch bars
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hacksaws
  • Aviation snips
  • Hand trucks
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Grounding cables
  • McLeod tools
  • Personal computers
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Escape respirators
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Steel wedges
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • First aid kits
  • Fire shelters
  • Pick head axes
  • Life vests
  • Marsh rigs
  • Torso restraints
  • Open end wrenches
  • Protective hoods
  • Extension ladders
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Single-bit axes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Pumper trucks
  • Jacks
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Machetes
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Two way radios
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Laptop computers
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Safety glasses
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Claw hammers
  • Fire trucks
  • Mobile data computers
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Fire hoses
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Hearing protectors
  • Air chisels
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Water testers
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Air samplers
  • Wood ladders
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Psychrometers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Foam pumps
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Utility knives
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Shovels
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Hard hats
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches