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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Hot Shot” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Hot Shot” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Hot Shot” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

Technologies & Software

  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Web browser software
  • Axon AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Email software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Palantir AI
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Plume modeling software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Circular saws
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Bolt cutters
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Falling saws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Fire shelters
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Geological compasses
  • Extension ladders
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Two way radios
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Listening devices
  • Radio communications systems
  • Foam pumps
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Picks
  • Face shields
  • Water testers
  • Power pumps
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Jacks
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Utility knives
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Parachutes
  • Stokes baskets
  • Limb restraints
  • Spotting scopes
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Shovels
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Hand trucks
  • Scuba suits
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Pulleys
  • Surface thermometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Aerial trucks
  • Drip torches
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Life safety ropes
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Pike poles
  • Psychrometers
  • Life throw rings
  • Metal detectors
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Sledgehammers
  • pH testing strips
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Flat head axes
  • Safety flares
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Riggings
  • Handheld computers
  • Fire hoses
  • Pulaski tools
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Halligan bars
  • Fire trucks
  • Lug wrenches
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Air chisels
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Glucometers
  • Pick head axes
  • Chain saws
  • Farm tractors
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Single-bit axes
  • Wildland fire engines
  • K-12 saws
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Claw hammers
  • Life vests
  • Bomb blankets
  • Glass cutters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Handsaws
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Protective fire boots
  • Body harnesses
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Air samplers
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Laptop computers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Water rescue boats
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Marsh rigs
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Ambu bags
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Navigation compasses
  • Machetes
  • Mattocks
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Pinch bars
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Escape respirators
  • Safety goggles
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Backpack pumps
  • Pry bars
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Hearing protectors
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Personal computers
  • Protective fire coats
  • McLeod tools
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Socket wrenches
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Hard hats
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Ventilation fans
  • Grounding cables
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Hux bars
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Search cameras
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Forest fire shovels
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Tree saws
  • Cold chisels
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Torso restraints
  • Safety glasses
  • Fire blankets
  • Wind gauges
  • Protective hoods
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Mobile data computers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Wood ladders
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Firefighting boots
  • Fire axes
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Backboards
  • First aid kits
  • Pumper trucks
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Hacksaws
  • Steel wedges
  • Ladder trucks
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Safety helmets