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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Wildland Firefighter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Wildland Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Wildland Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Access
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Perplexity AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Operating system software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Palantir AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Axon AI
  • Llama (Meta)
  • DeepSeek
  • Email software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Web browser software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Plume modeling software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Pumper trucks
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Wood ladders
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Fire hoses
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Water rescue boats
  • Handheld computers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Glass cutters
  • Lug wrenches
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Tree saws
  • McLeod tools
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Two way radios
  • Air chisels
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Ladder trucks
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Hux bars
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Laptop computers
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Face shields
  • Safety glasses
  • Surface thermometers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Foam pumps
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Cold chisels
  • Handsaws
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Steel wedges
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Search cameras
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Sledgehammers
  • Fire shelters
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Protective fire coats
  • Escape respirators
  • Hard hats
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Jacks
  • Backpack pumps
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Extension ladders
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Ambu bags
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Farm tractors
  • Navigation compasses
  • Shovels
  • Body harnesses
  • Hacksaws
  • Life vests
  • Fire trucks
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Picks
  • Firefighting boots
  • Backboards
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Life safety ropes
  • Parachutes
  • Geological compasses
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Radio communications systems
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Scuba suits
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Aerial trucks
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Protective fire boots
  • Wind gauges
  • First aid kits
  • Claw hammers
  • Mattocks
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Circular saws
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Power pumps
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Safety helmets
  • Hand trucks
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Pick head axes
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Water testers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Ventilation fans
  • Marsh rigs
  • Drip torches
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Pinch bars
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Protective hoods
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Halligan bars
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Psychrometers
  • Glucometers
  • Aviation snips
  • Pike poles
  • pH testing strips
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Air samplers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Fire axes
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Falling saws
  • Safety goggles
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Machetes
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Riggings
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Pulleys
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Pulaski tools
  • Hearing protectors
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Limb restraints
  • Flat head axes
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Socket wrenches
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Chain saws
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Personal computers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Pry bars
  • Utility knives
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Listening devices
  • Metal detectors
  • Single-bit axes
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Life throw rings
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Protective fire helmets
  • K-12 saws
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Mobile data computers
  • Bomb blankets
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Safety flares
  • Forest fire shovels
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Torso restraints
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Fire blankets
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Grounding cables
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Smoke ejectors