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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ladderman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Ladderman” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Ladderman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

Technologies & Software

  • Spreadsheet software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Axon AI
  • Email software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Perplexity AI
  • Plume modeling software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Palantir AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Web browser software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Chain saws
  • Ladder trucks
  • Mobile data computers
  • Geological compasses
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Riggings
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Pumper trucks
  • Safety helmets
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Jacks
  • Claw hammers
  • Slip joint pliers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Radio communications systems
  • Pulaski tools
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Lug wrenches
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Extension ladders
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Laptop computers
  • Torso restraints
  • Safety flares
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Grounding cables
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Water testers
  • Halligan bars
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Firefighting boots
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Fire trucks
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Life safety ropes
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Protective fire coats
  • Flat head axes
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Hearing protectors
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Fire blankets
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Cold chisels
  • Handheld computers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Listening devices
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Air chisels
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • pH testing strips
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Safety glasses
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Picks
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Backpack pumps
  • Navigation compasses
  • Backboards
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Aerial trucks
  • First aid kits
  • Foam pumps
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Open end wrenches
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Life vests
  • Hand trucks
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Power pumps
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Single-bit axes
  • Ambu bags
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Hux bars
  • Metal detectors
  • Hacksaws
  • Shovels
  • Handsaws
  • Wind gauges
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Falling saws
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Farm tractors
  • Face shields
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Protective fire boots
  • Sledgehammers
  • Aviation snips
  • Pry bars
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Pick head axes
  • Ventilation fans
  • Pike poles
  • Parachutes
  • Steel wedges
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Two way radios
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Search cameras
  • Protective hoods
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Hard hats
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Water rescue boats
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Utility knives
  • Psychrometers
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • K-12 saws
  • Life throw rings
  • Stokes baskets
  • Surface thermometers
  • Circular saws
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Escape respirators
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Pulleys
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Body harnesses
  • Scuba suits
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Pinch bars
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Marsh rigs
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Safety goggles
  • Machetes
  • Drip torches
  • McLeod tools
  • Fire hoses
  • Tree saws
  • Glucometers
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Air samplers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Glass cutters
  • Socket wrenches
  • Fire shelters
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Limb restraints
  • Personal computers
  • Wood ladders
  • Bomb blankets
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Mattocks
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Fire axes
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines