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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Wildland Specialist Firefighter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Wildland Specialist Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Wildland Specialist Firefighter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

Technologies & Software

  • Palantir AI
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Plume modeling software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Email software
  • Operating system software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Web browser software
  • Axon AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Open end wrenches
  • Handheld computers
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Safety helmets
  • K-12 saws
  • Aerial trucks
  • Pick head axes
  • Safety goggles
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Hard hats
  • Face shields
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Riggings
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Life throw rings
  • Surface thermometers
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Hux bars
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Ambu bags
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Chain saws
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Escape respirators
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Marsh rigs
  • Fire axes
  • Utility knives
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • pH testing strips
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Bomb blankets
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Limb restraints
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Farm tractors
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • McLeod tools
  • Power pumps
  • Fire trucks
  • Hearing protectors
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Firefighting boots
  • Ventilation fans
  • Listening devices
  • Backboards
  • Pulaski tools
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Air samplers
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Handsaws
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Water rescue boats
  • Halligan bars
  • Hand trucks
  • Jacks
  • Pike poles
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Navigation compasses
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Shovels
  • Fire blankets
  • Picks
  • Personal computers
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Steel wedges
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Mobile data computers
  • Water testers
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Socket wrenches
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Backpack pumps
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Psychrometers
  • Lug wrenches
  • Mattocks
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Radio communications systems
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Glass cutters
  • Protective fire boots
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Wood ladders
  • Parachutes
  • Extension ladders
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Life safety ropes
  • Machetes
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Pulleys
  • Protective hoods
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Body harnesses
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Safety flares
  • Laptop computers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Geological compasses
  • Fire shelters
  • Hacksaws
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Stokes baskets
  • Two way radios
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Sledgehammers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Wind gauges
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Life vests
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Glucometers
  • Flat head axes
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • First aid kits
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Single-bit axes
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Protective fire coats
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Pinch bars
  • Drip torches
  • Safety glasses
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Aviation snips
  • Metal detectors
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Circular saws
  • Ladder trucks
  • Falling saws
  • Tree saws
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Search cameras
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Grounding cables
  • Fire hoses
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Scuba suits
  • Air chisels
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Cold chisels
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Spotting scopes
  • Pumper trucks
  • Foam pumps
  • Pry bars
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Torso restraints
  • Claw hammers
  • Hydraulic rams