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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Plugman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Plugman” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Plugman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

Technologies & Software

  • Palantir AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Plume modeling software
  • Operating system software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Axon AI
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Flat head axes
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Personal computers
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Aerial trucks
  • Pry bars
  • Utility knives
  • McLeod tools
  • Listening devices
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Claw hammers
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Shovels
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Extension ladders
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Parachutes
  • Life vests
  • Cold chisels
  • Aviation snips
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Limb restraints
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Hacksaws
  • Body harnesses
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Stokes baskets
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Hand trucks
  • Laptop computers
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Fire shelters
  • Circular saws
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • pH testing strips
  • Open end wrenches
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Wind gauges
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Pulaski tools
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Halligan bars
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Lug wrenches
  • Escape respirators
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Riggings
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Safety flares
  • K-12 saws
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Protective fire coats
  • Air chisels
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Scuba suits
  • Firefighting boots
  • Hard hats
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Backboards
  • Fire blankets
  • First aid kits
  • Farm tractors
  • Single-bit axes
  • Two way radios
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Jacks
  • Geological compasses
  • Grounding cables
  • Fire axes
  • Mattocks
  • Tree saws
  • Ventilation fans
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Metal detectors
  • Hearing protectors
  • Fire hoses
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Face shields
  • Falling saws
  • Bomb blankets
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Power pumps
  • Chain saws
  • Search cameras
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Foam pumps
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Radio communications systems
  • Machetes
  • Surface thermometers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Handsaws
  • Water testers
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Glucometers
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Fire trucks
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Handheld computers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Safety goggles
  • Protective hoods
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Wood ladders
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Hux bars
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Safety glasses
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Pike poles
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Steel wedges
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Navigation compasses
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Pick head axes
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Bolt cutters
  • Safety helmets
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Air samplers
  • Drip torches
  • Pulleys
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Torso restraints
  • Mobile data computers
  • Picks
  • Glass cutters
  • Pinch bars
  • Life throw rings
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Ambu bags
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Water rescue boats
  • Pumper trucks
  • Psychrometers
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Marsh rigs
  • Protective fire boots
  • Socket wrenches
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Ladder trucks
  • Backpack pumps
  • Life safety ropes