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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Plugman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Plugman” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Plugman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Web browser software
  • Palantir AI
  • Email software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Axon AI
  • Operating system software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Plume modeling software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Two way radios
  • Pumper trucks
  • Ladder trucks
  • Fire hoses
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Protective hoods
  • Wind gauges
  • Bomb blankets
  • Protective fire boots
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • pH testing strips
  • Pick head axes
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Shovels
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Lug wrenches
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Torso restraints
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Hearing protectors
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Marsh rigs
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Single-bit axes
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Life throw rings
  • Halligan bars
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Flat head axes
  • Metal detectors
  • Pulleys
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Wood ladders
  • Mobile data computers
  • Fire blankets
  • Psychrometers
  • Charged fire hoses
  • K-12 saws
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Stokes baskets
  • Laptop computers
  • Face shields
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Drip torches
  • Personal computers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Surface thermometers
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Tree saws
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • McLeod tools
  • Cold chisels
  • First aid kits
  • Air samplers
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Pinch bars
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Hacksaws
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Search cameras
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Fire trucks
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Utility knives
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Hand trucks
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Glucometers
  • Firefighting boots
  • Power pumps
  • Chain saws
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Ambu bags
  • Foam pumps
  • Jacks
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Circular saws
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Pike poles
  • Safety goggles
  • Limb restraints
  • Steel wedges
  • Bolt cutters
  • Radio communications systems
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Farm tractors
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Body harnesses
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Backpack pumps
  • Escape respirators
  • Handsaws
  • Life safety ropes
  • Grounding cables
  • Open end wrenches
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Pulaski tools
  • Safety flares
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Ventilation fans
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Hux bars
  • Claw hammers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Falling saws
  • Handheld computers
  • Aerial trucks
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Hard hats
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Parachutes
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Scuba suits
  • Picks
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Pry bars
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Listening devices
  • Air chisels
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Water rescue boats
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Glass cutters
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Machetes
  • Riggings
  • Safety helmets
  • Fire shelters
  • Extension ladders
  • Protective fire coats
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Geological compasses
  • Aviation snips
  • Life vests
  • Water testers
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Socket wrenches
  • Backboards
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Fire axes
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Mattocks
  • Safety glasses