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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Jumper” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Jumper” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Jumper” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

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  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gemini (Google)
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  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Email software
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • DeepSeek
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Air samplers
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Marsh rigs
  • Hand trucks
  • Backpack pumps
  • Pick head axes
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Handsaws
  • Claw hammers
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Glass cutters
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Shovels
  • Grounding cables
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Psychrometers
  • Body harnesses
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Power pumps
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Hux bars
  • Ambu bags
  • Farm tractors
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Utility knives
  • Safety goggles
  • Listening devices
  • Two way radios
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Picks
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Handheld computers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Sledgehammers
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Search cameras
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Water testers
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Aerial trucks
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Parachutes
  • Mattocks
  • Protective fire coats
  • Stokes baskets
  • Life safety ropes
  • Extension ladders
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Radio communications systems
  • Protective hoods
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Cold chisels
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Safety flares
  • Halligan bars
  • Mobile data computers
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Drip torches
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • First aid kits
  • Steel wedges
  • Escape respirators
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Tree saws
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Pinch bars
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Protective fire boots
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Flat head axes
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Geological compasses
  • Limb restraints
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Wind gauges
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Air chisels
  • Lug wrenches
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Laptop computers
  • Pulaski tools
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Pry bars
  • Ladder trucks
  • Life throw rings
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Fire hoses
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Hard hats
  • Pumper trucks
  • Pike poles
  • Bomb blankets
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Safety helmets
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Spotting scopes
  • Water rescue boats
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Machetes
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Falling saws
  • Scuba suits
  • Personal computers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Fire axes
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Aviation snips
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Life vests
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Wood ladders
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Jacks
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Fire shelters
  • Pulleys
  • Safety glasses
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Socket wrenches
  • pH testing strips
  • Navigation compasses
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Firefighting boots
  • Ventilation fans
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Metal detectors
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Hacksaws
  • Open end wrenches
  • McLeod tools
  • Surface thermometers
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • K-12 saws
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Face shields
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Backboards
  • Circular saws
  • Fire trucks
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Riggings
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Chain saws
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Fire blankets
  • Glucometers
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Foam pumps
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Torso restraints
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Single-bit axes
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Hearing protectors
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators