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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Smoke Jumper” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Smoke Jumper” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Smoke Jumper” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

Technologies & Software

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  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • DeepSeek
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Palantir AI
  • Email software
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Axon AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Plume modeling software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Spreadsheet software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Web browser software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Perplexity AI
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Protective fire coats
  • Flat head axes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Navigation compasses
  • Life safety ropes
  • Protective fire boots
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Pike poles
  • Backpack pumps
  • Metal detectors
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Torso restraints
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Water rescue boats
  • Personal computers
  • Fire shelters
  • Liquid splash protective clothing
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Fire trucks
  • Lug wrenches
  • Geological compasses
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Foam pumps
  • Hux bars
  • pH testing strips
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Wood ladders
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Single-bit axes
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Life throw rings
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Safety glasses
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Marsh rigs
  • Hand trucks
  • Shovels
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Safety goggles
  • Mobile data computers
  • Extension ladders
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Limb restraints
  • McLeod tools
  • Air chisels
  • Air samplers
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Ladder trucks
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Ventilation fans
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Hearing protectors
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Listening devices
  • K-12 saws
  • Search cameras
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Psychrometers
  • Open end wrenches
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Pumper trucks
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Escape respirators
  • Cold chisels
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Falling saws
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Body harnesses
  • Surface thermometers
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Glass cutters
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Firefighting boots
  • Wind gauges
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Grounding cables
  • Aerial trucks
  • Machetes
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • Farm tractors
  • Hacksaws
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Jacks
  • Power pumps
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Ambu bags
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Parachutes
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Safety helmets
  • Utility knives
  • Pick head axes
  • Backboards
  • Steel wedges
  • Face shields
  • Scuba suits
  • Protective hoods
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Mattocks
  • Pulleys
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Chain saws
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Pulaski tools
  • Circular saws
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Fire blankets
  • Halligan bars
  • Glucometers
  • Hard hats
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Stokes baskets
  • Drip torches
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Socket wrenches
  • Pinch bars
  • Handsaws
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Riggings
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Sledgehammers
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Laptop computers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Radio communications systems
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Life vests
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Bolt cutters
  • Water testers
  • First aid kits
  • Picks
  • Two way radios
  • Spotting scopes
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Safety flares
  • Aviation snips
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Fire axes
  • Bomb blankets
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Fire hoses
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Handheld computers
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Claw hammers
  • Pry bars
  • Tree saws
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Truck wheel chocks