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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Tail Board Man” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #197 of 702. Estimated risk: 17.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

53%

“Tail Board Man” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 53% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Tail Board Man” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Firefighters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control and extinguish fires or respond to emergency situations where life, property, or the environment is at risk. Duties may include fire prevention, emergency medical service, hazardous material response, search and rescue, and disaster assistance.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,890
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.72
Available Jobs (US) 332,240
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Firefighters #33-2011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Firefighters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Collaborate with police to respond to accidents, disasters, and arson investigation calls.

  • Administer first aid and cardiopulmonary resuscitation to injured persons or provide emergency medical care such as basic or advanced life support.

  • Collaborate with other firefighters as a member of a firefighting crew.

  • Salvage property by removing broken glass, pumping out water, and ventilating buildings to remove smoke.

  • Inspect buildings for fire hazards and compliance with fire prevention ordinances, testing and checking smoke alarms and fire suppression equipment as necessary.

  • Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger.

  • Drive and operate fire fighting vehicles and equipment.

  • Clean and maintain fire stations and fire fighting equipment and apparatus.

  • Take action to contain any hazardous chemicals that could catch fire, leak, or spill.

  • Participate in fire drills and demonstrations of fire fighting techniques.

  • Orient self in relation to fire, using compass and map, and collect supplies and equipment dropped by parachute.

  • Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.

  • Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.

  • Extinguish flames and embers to suppress fires, using shovels or engine- or hand-driven water or chemical pumps.

  • Protect property from water and smoke, using waterproof salvage covers, smoke ejectors, and deodorants.

  • Create openings in buildings for ventilation or entrance, using axes, chisels, crowbars, electric saws, or core cutters.

  • Train new employees to control and suppress fires.

  • Patrol burned areas after fires to locate and eliminate hot spots that may restart fires.

  • Rescue survivors from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards.

  • Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.

  • Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties.

  • Select and attach hose nozzles, depending on fire type, and direct streams of water or chemicals onto fires.

  • Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents.

  • Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus.

  • Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios.

  • Position and climb ladders to gain access to upper levels of buildings, or to rescue individuals from burning structures.

  • Participate in physical training activities to maintain a high level of physical fitness.

  • Search to locate fire survivors.

  • Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.

  • Respond to fire alarms and other calls for assistance, such as automobile and industrial accidents.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Incident command system ICS software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Palantir AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Spreadsheet software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Operating system software
  • Plume modeling software
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Fire incident reporting systems
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Axon AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Email software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web browser software
  • Affiliated Computer Services ACS FIREHOUSE
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Motorola Solutions AI
  • Manual blood pressure cuffs
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Aerial lifting apparatus
  • Self-contained breathing apparatus
  • Slip joint pliers
  • Backfiring fusees
  • Automatic blood pressure cuffs
  • Machetes
  • Protective fire coats
  • Pyrotechnic flares
  • Geological compasses
  • Hydrant shutoff wrenches
  • Life vests
  • Hydraulic rams
  • Pike poles
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Hard hats
  • Foam pumps
  • Evacuation stretchers
  • Picks
  • Psychrometers
  • Tractor-mounted mowers
  • Riggings
  • Pinch bars
  • Trench rescue shoring jacks
  • Steel wedges
  • Block and tackle equipment
  • Spinal immobilization equipment
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Pry bars
  • Life throw rings
  • Copper grounding cables
  • Claw hammers
  • Multi-gas detectors
  • McLeod tools
  • Water rescue boats
  • Body harnesses
  • Charged fire hoses
  • Falling saws
  • Circular saws
  • Backboards
  • Non-sparking bung wrenches
  • Drip torches
  • Radio communications systems
  • Air bag lifting systems
  • Listening devices
  • Hazardous materials protective suits
  • Search cameras
  • Adjustable wrenches
  • Ladder trucks
  • Lug wrenches
  • Emergency suction kits
  • Pulleys
  • Socket wrenches
  • Evacuation baskets
  • Surface thermometers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Fire trucks
  • Ventilation fans
  • Safety glasses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hand trucks
  • Non-sparking hammers
  • Field radiological measuring devices
  • Gas-powered generators
  • Diagonal cutting pliers
  • Firefighting boots
  • Cold chisels
  • Mechanical stethoscopes
  • Hacksaws
  • K-12 saws
  • Portable meteorological stations
  • Ceiling hooks
  • Electrical resistance meters
  • Truck wheel chocks
  • Surveillance binoculars
  • Fire hose clamps
  • Open end wrenches
  • Escape respirators
  • Fire axes
  • Combustible gas detectors
  • Power pumps
  • Utility knives
  • Rubbish hooks
  • Hux bars
  • Metal detectors
  • Hand-operated pumps
  • Aviation snips
  • Chemical detection testers
  • Bomb response vehicles
  • Automated external defibrillators AED
  • Truck-mounted winches
  • Oxygen cylinders
  • Limb restraints
  • Electronic leak detectors
  • Spotting scopes
  • Scuba suits
  • Fire blankets
  • All terrain vehicles ATV
  • Aluminum ladders
  • Tree saws
  • HAZMAT response vehicles
  • Vise grip pliers
  • Smoke ejectors
  • Evacuation chairs
  • Infrared thermometers
  • Ground resistance testers
  • Safety helmets
  • Backpack pumps
  • Parachutes
  • Personal computers
  • Halligan bars
  • First aid kits
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 fire extinguishers
  • pH testing strips
  • Electrocardiography EKG machines
  • Forest fire shovels
  • Two way radios
  • Aerial trucks
  • Pick head axes
  • Farm tractors
  • Fire resistant clothing
  • Shovels
  • High pressure fire hoses
  • Uncharged fire hoses
  • Grounding cables
  • Wildland fire engines
  • Fire resistant gloves
  • Chemical protection footwear
  • Fire hoses
  • Channel lock pliers
  • Air chisels
  • Laptop computers
  • Navigation compasses
  • Mattocks
  • Global positioning system GPS receivers
  • Protective fire boots
  • Field emergency services neck braces
  • Synthetic fire hoses
  • Safety goggles
  • Safety flares
  • Truck-mounted water pumps
  • Bolt cutters
  • Wood ladders
  • Pulaski tools
  • Chain saws
  • Intravenous IV administration sets
  • Protective fire helmets
  • Jacks
  • Protective hoods
  • Air samplers
  • Reciprocating hacksaws
  • Extension ladders
  • Hydraulic extrication tools
  • Self-rescue ropes
  • Sledgehammers
  • Pumper trucks
  • Water testers
  • Wind gauges
  • Underwater video cameras
  • Stokes baskets
  • Handsaws
  • Ambu bags
  • Fire shelters
  • Radio frequency identification RFID devices
  • Pulse oximeters
  • Hearing protectors
  • Life safety ropes
  • Torso restraints
  • Hazardous materials spill control devices
  • Single-bit axes
  • Fire hose nozzles
  • Chemical protection gloves
  • Multipurpose fire extinguishers
  • Trauma type first aid kits
  • Face shields
  • Insulated wire cutters
  • Non-sparking spanner wrenches
  • Glass cutters
  • Flat head axes
  • Explosive detection robots
  • Marsh rigs
  • Full-spine immobilization devices
  • Thermal imaging cameras
  • Mobile data computers
  • Handheld computers
  • Intermittent positive pressure breathing IPPB ventilators
  • Glucometers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Orthopedic splint sets
  • Tracked bulldozers
  • Explosive detection analyzers
  • Bomb blankets
  • Scuba air regulators
  • Air purifying respirators
  • Equipment transport trailers
  • Liquid splash protective clothing