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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Architectural Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Architectural Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Architectural Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

Technologies & Software

  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Scanning software
  • TokenX
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Microsoft Access
  • Archives Wiki
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Elicit
  • Microsoft Word
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Digital image collections
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Email software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Web browser software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • DeepSeek
  • National Archives online databases
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Scite AI
  • Archival databases
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Text mining software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Page markers
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • QuarkXPress
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Digital mapping software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Reference management software
  • Wonderware software
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Database management systems
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Audio editing software
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Perplexity AI
  • LinkedIn
  • Microphones
  • Digital still cameras
  • Personal computers
  • Data input scanners
  • Computer laser printers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Microfilm readers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Analog-to-digital converters