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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Protohistorian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Protohistorian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Protohistorian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

Technologies & Software

  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Microsoft Access
  • LinkedIn
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • TokenX
  • National Archives online databases
  • DeepSeek
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Page markers
  • QuarkXPress
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Database management systems
  • Audio editing software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Text mining software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Digital image collections
  • Reference management software
  • Scite AI
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Scanning software
  • Archives Wiki
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Wonderware software
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Consensus
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Web browser software
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Archival databases
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Digital mapping software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Elicit
  • Email software
  • Data input scanners
  • Laptop computers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Microfiche readers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Digital still cameras
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Microphones
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Personal computers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Computer laser printers