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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Protohistorian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Protohistorian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Protohistorian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

Technologies & Software

  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Scanning software
  • Reference management software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Elicit
  • QuarkXPress
  • Consensus
  • Page markers
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Wonderware software
  • Archives Wiki
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Structured query language SQL
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • National Archives online databases
  • Digital image collections
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • DeepSeek
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Database management systems
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Audio editing software
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Microsoft Word
  • LinkedIn
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Text mining software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Digital mapping software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Email software
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Gutenberg-e
  • TokenX
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Archival databases
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Scite AI
  • Web browser software
  • Data input scanners
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microfilm readers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Microphones
  • Computer laser printers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Computer inkjet printers