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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Research Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Research Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Research Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

Technologies & Software

  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Page markers
  • Adobe InDesign
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Consensus
  • Audio editing software
  • Microsoft Access
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Archives Wiki
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Email software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Wonderware software
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Text mining software
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Web browser software
  • Reference management software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Archival databases
  • Scanning software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Digital mapping software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • DeepSeek
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • LinkedIn
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • TokenX
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Database management systems
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • National Archives online databases
  • Digital image collections
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Scite AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Elicit
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Microphones
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Computer laser printers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Personal computers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Digital still cameras
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Data input scanners
  • Laptop computers