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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Research Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Research Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Research Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

Technologies & Software

  • National Archives online databases
  • TokenX
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • LinkedIn
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Archival databases
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Perplexity AI
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Web browser software
  • Audio editing software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Digital mapping software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • QuarkXPress
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Elicit
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Email software
  • Text mining software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Page markers
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Database management systems
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Structured query language SQL
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Scite AI
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Statistical analysis software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Digital image collections
  • Archives Wiki
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Consensus
  • Scanning software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • DeepSeek
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Microsoft Word
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Reference management software
  • Wonderware software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computer laser printers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microphones
  • Personal computers
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Laptop computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Data input scanners