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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Oral Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Oral Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Oral Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

Technologies & Software

  • LinkedIn
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Digital mapping software
  • Wonderware software
  • Audio editing software
  • Web Scrapbook
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Web browser software
  • Consensus
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Email software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Scanning software
  • TokenX
  • Text mining software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Archives Wiki
  • Reference management software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Digital image collections
  • National Archives online databases
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Archival databases
  • Page markers
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • DeepSeek
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Scite AI
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Elicit
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Database management systems
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Digital still cameras
  • Personal computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Microphones
  • Microfilm readers
  • Data input scanners
  • Laptop computers
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Computer laser printers