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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Historiographer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Historiographer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Historiographer” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

Technologies & Software

  • Perplexity AI
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Archival databases
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Digital mapping software
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • TokenX
  • Text mining software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • National Archives online databases
  • Elicit
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Audio editing software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Page markers
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Consensus
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • DeepSeek
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Digital image collections
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • LinkedIn
  • Reference management software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Database management systems
  • Wonderware software
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Scite AI
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Adobe InDesign
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Statistical analysis software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Archives Wiki
  • Scanning software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Microphones
  • Computer laser printers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microfiche readers
  • Data input scanners
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Microfilm readers
  • Personal computers