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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Historiographer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Historiographer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Historiographer” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

Technologies & Software

  • Audio editing software
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Digital image collections
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Archival databases
  • National Archives online databases
  • QuarkXPress
  • TokenX
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Scite AI
  • Web browser software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Microsoft Word
  • Page markers
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Consensus
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Scanning software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Adobe InDesign
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Wonderware software
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Elicit
  • Reference management software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Text mining software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • LinkedIn
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Database management systems
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Email software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Microsoft Access
  • Archives Wiki
  • Structured query language SQL
  • DeepSeek
  • Llama (Meta)
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Digital mapping software
  • Laptop computers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Computer laser printers
  • Personal computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microfiche readers
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Data input scanners
  • Microphones
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Microfilm readers