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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “County Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“County Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“County Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

Technologies & Software

  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Reference management software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • LinkedIn
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Scanning software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Audio editing software
  • Wonderware software
  • Archival databases
  • National Archives online databases
  • Consensus
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Scite AI
  • Email software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ArchiveGrid
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Database management systems
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Digital image collections
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Text mining software
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Archives Wiki
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Web browser software
  • Elicit
  • DeepSeek
  • QuarkXPress
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Microsoft Office software
  • TokenX
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Digital mapping software
  • Page markers
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Microphones
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Computer laser printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microfiche readers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Microfilm readers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Data input scanners