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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Music Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Music Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Music Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

Technologies & Software

  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Wonderware software
  • Scite AI
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Elicit
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Scanning software
  • QuarkXPress
  • Consensus
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • DeepSeek
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Database management systems
  • Digital image collections
  • TokenX
  • Audio editing software
  • Page markers
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • National Archives online databases
  • Archival databases
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web browser software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Text mining software
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Digital mapping software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Reference management software
  • LinkedIn
  • ArchiveGrid
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Archives Wiki
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Data input scanners
  • Personal computers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Computer laser printers
  • Microphones
  • Digital audio recorders