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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Music Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Music Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Music Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Digital image collections
  • Database management systems
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • Email software
  • DeepSeek
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Scanning software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Structured query language SQL
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Gutenberg-e
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Consensus
  • Audio editing software
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Archival databases
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Reference management software
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • National Archives online databases
  • Digital mapping software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • TokenX
  • Page markers
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Archives Wiki
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Text mining software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Web browser software
  • Elicit
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • QuarkXPress
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • LinkedIn
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Scite AI
  • Wonderware software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Personal computers
  • Data input scanners
  • Microphones
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Digital still cameras
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Microfiche readers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Computer laser printers