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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Historian Developer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Historian Developer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Historian Developer” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

Technologies & Software

  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Web Scrapbook
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Scanning software
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Microsoft Access
  • Archival databases
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Grok (xAI)
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • DeepSeek
  • Database management systems
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Page markers
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • LinkedIn
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Archives Wiki
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Digital mapping software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Text mining software
  • QuarkXPress
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Wonderware software
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • TokenX
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Scite AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Reference management software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Elicit
  • Digital image collections
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Perplexity AI
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Audio editing software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • National Archives online databases
  • Web browser software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Email software
  • Laptop computers
  • Data input scanners
  • Digital still cameras
  • Personal computers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Computer laser printers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Microphones