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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Historian Developer” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Historian Developer” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Historian Developer” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

Technologies & Software

  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Digital image collections
  • Database management systems
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Wonderware software
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Scanning software
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Microsoft Access
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • LinkedIn
  • Digital mapping software
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Archives Wiki
  • National Archives online databases
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Text mining software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • TokenX
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • DeepSeek
  • Archival databases
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Page markers
  • Perplexity AI
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Scite AI
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Web browser software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Audio editing software
  • QuarkXPress
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Reference management software
  • Structured query language SQL
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Email software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Elicit
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Consensus
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Data input scanners
  • Computer laser printers
  • Personal computers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microfilm readers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Microphones
  • Computer inkjet printers