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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Film Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Film Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Film Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

Technologies & Software

  • Text mining software
  • Web browser software
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • National Archives online databases
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Structured query language SQL
  • LinkedIn
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Digital mapping software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Email software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Archival databases
  • Page markers
  • Microsoft Access
  • DeepSeek
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Scite AI
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Database management systems
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Archives Wiki
  • Wonderware software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Reference management software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Elicit
  • Consensus
  • Audio editing software
  • Digital image collections
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gutenberg-e
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Microsoft Word
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • QuarkXPress
  • TokenX
  • Perplexity AI
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Scanning software
  • Computer laser printers
  • Personal computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Laptop computers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Data input scanners
  • Microfilm readers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Microphones