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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Researcher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Researcher” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Researcher” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

Technologies & Software

  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Digital mapping software
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • TokenX
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • National Archives online databases
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Database management systems
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Microsoft Access
  • ArchiveGrid
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Email software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Wonderware software
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Scanning software
  • Elicit
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Scite AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Web browser software
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Archives Wiki
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Text mining software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Perplexity AI
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Page markers
  • Digital image collections
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Reference management software
  • Grok (xAI)
  • LinkedIn
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Consensus
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Audio editing software
  • QuarkXPress
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Archival databases
  • Data input scanners
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Microfiche readers
  • Laptop computers
  • Computer laser printers
  • Microphones