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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Researcher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Researcher” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Researcher” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

Technologies & Software

  • LinkedIn
  • Database management systems
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web Scrapbook
  • DeepSeek
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Wonderware software
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Reference management software
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Scanning software
  • QuarkXPress
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Elicit
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Email software
  • Audio editing software
  • Digital image collections
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • National Archives online databases
  • Consensus
  • Scite AI
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Archives Wiki
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Archival databases
  • Web browser software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • TokenX
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Text mining software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • ArchiveGrid
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Page markers
  • Digital mapping software
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Microsoft Access
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Microfiche readers
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Microphones
  • Personal computers
  • Computer laser printers
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Data input scanners