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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dramatic Arts Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Dramatic Arts Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Dramatic Arts Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

Technologies & Software

  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Consensus
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Page markers
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Archival databases
  • Scite AI
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Statistical analysis software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Wonderware software
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Grok (xAI)
  • TokenX
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Digital image collections
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Microsoft Excel
  • QuarkXPress
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • National Archives online databases
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Reference management software
  • Archives Wiki
  • Scanning software
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • Database management systems
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Elicit
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Digital mapping software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Web browser software
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Email software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Text mining software
  • Microsoft Word
  • LinkedIn
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Audio editing software
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Digital still cameras
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Personal computers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Data input scanners
  • Computer laser printers
  • Microfilm readers
  • Microphones
  • Laptop computers