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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dramatic Arts Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Dramatic Arts Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Dramatic Arts Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

Technologies & Software

  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Scanning software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Elicit
  • Scite AI
  • Digital mapping software
  • Text mining software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Digital image collections
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Audio editing software
  • QuarkXPress
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Perplexity AI
  • Archives Wiki
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Web browser software
  • Archival databases
  • Page markers
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Structured query language SQL
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Database management systems
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • TokenX
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Wonderware software
  • National Archives online databases
  • LinkedIn
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Email software
  • Reference management software
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Consensus
  • Microsoft Access
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Computer laser printers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microphones
  • Microfilm readers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Personal computers
  • Data input scanners
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital audio recorders