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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dance Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Dance Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Dance Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

Technologies & Software

  • Llama (Meta)
  • LinkedIn
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Scite AI
  • Reference management software
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Elicit
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Web browser software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Text mining software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Perplexity AI
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Database management systems
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • National Archives online databases
  • Archival databases
  • Audio editing software
  • Wonderware software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Page markers
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Scanning software
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Microsoft Access
  • Consensus
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Digital image collections
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • Archives Wiki
  • ArchiveGrid
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Digital mapping software
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Email software
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • QuarkXPress
  • TokenX
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Computer laser printers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Data input scanners
  • Microphones
  • Laptop computers
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microfilm readers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Analog-to-digital converters