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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Dance Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Dance Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Dance Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Reference management software
  • Database management systems
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Digital mapping software
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • DeepSeek
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Digital image collections
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Wonderware software
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Elicit
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Web browser software
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • National Archives online databases
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Archival databases
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Perplexity AI
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Microsoft Access
  • Page markers
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • TokenX
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • QuarkXPress
  • LinkedIn
  • Microsoft Word
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Email software
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Scanning software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Audio editing software
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Consensus
  • Scite AI
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Archives Wiki
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Gutenberg-e
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • ArchiveGrid
  • Text mining software
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Personal computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Microfilm readers
  • Laptop computers
  • Data input scanners
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Digital still cameras
  • Microphones
  • Computer laser printers
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Digital audio recorders