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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Historian” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #283 of 702. Estimated risk: 44.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

56%

“Historian” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 56% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

25%

“Historian” will almost certainly not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 25% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Historians, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Research, analyze, record, and interpret the past as recorded in sources, such as government and institutional records, newspapers and other periodicals, photographs, interviews, films, electronic media, and unpublished manuscripts, such as personal diaries and letters.

Avg. Annual Salary $78,470
Avg. Hourly Wage $37.73
Available Jobs (US) 3,140
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Historians #19-3093
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Historians”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Conserve and preserve manuscripts, records, and other artifacts.

  • Recommend actions related to historical art, such as which items to add to a collection or which items to display in an exhibit.

  • Advise or consult with individuals and institutions regarding issues such as the historical authenticity of materials or the customs of a specific historical period.

  • Coordinate activities of workers engaged in cataloging and filing materials.

  • Interview people to gather information about historical events and to record oral histories.

  • Collect detailed information on individuals for use in biographies.

  • Gather historical data from sources such as archives, court records, diaries, news files, and photographs, as well as from books, pamphlets, and periodicals.

  • Speak to various groups, organizations, and clubs to promote the aims and activities of historical societies.

  • Edit historical society publications.

  • Trace historical development in a particular field, such as social, cultural, political, or diplomatic history.

  • Conduct historical research, and publish or present findings and theories.

  • Research the history of a particular country or region, or of a specific time period.

  • Determine which topics to research, or pursue research topics specified by clients or employers.

  • Research and prepare manuscripts in support of public programming and the development of exhibits at historic sites, museums, libraries, and archives.

  • Translate or request translation of reference materials.

  • Prepare publications and exhibits, or review those prepared by others, to ensure their historical accuracy.

  • Present historical accounts in terms of individuals or social, ethnic, political, economic, or geographic groupings.

  • Organize information for publication and for other means of dissemination, such as via storage media or the Internet.

  • Organize data, and analyze and interpret its authenticity and relative significance.

  • Teach and conduct research in colleges, universities, museums, and other research agencies and schools.

  • Conduct historical research as a basis for the identification, conservation, and reconstruction of historic places and materials.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Archival databases
  • Mistral AI (chat/models)
  • Wonderware software
  • National Union Catalog of Manuscript Collections (NUCMC)
  • Microsoft Active Server Pages ASP
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • Web Scrapbook
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • QuarkXPress
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Perplexity AI
  • ArchiveGrid
  • ESRI ArcGIS software
  • Adobe InDesign
  • Supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Structured query language SQL
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Reference management software
  • Searchable online catalogs
  • Statistical analysis software
  • Geographic information system GIS systems
  • TokenX
  • Relational database management system RDMS
  • Email software
  • Adobe Dreamweaver
  • Microsoft Word
  • Corel WordPerfect Office Suite
  • Smithsonian Institution digital archives
  • Google Books NGram Viewer
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Access
  • Web browser software
  • IBM SPSS Statistics
  • Audio editing software
  • National Archives online databases
  • Digital image collections
  • Scite AI
  • NotebookLM (Google)
  • Text mining software
  • Geographic information system GIS software
  • Gutenberg-e
  • Library of Congress digital collections
  • DeepSeek
  • ProQuest Archive Finder
  • Extensible markup language XML
  • Scanning software
  • Semantic Scholar AI
  • Elicit
  • Adobe Photoshop
  • Database management systems
  • Microsoft SharePoint
  • Archives Wiki
  • Consensus
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Page markers
  • Gemini (Google)
  • LinkedIn
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Digital mapping software
  • Digital still cameras
  • Data input scanners
  • Laptop computers
  • Microfiche readers
  • Digital audio recorders
  • Photocopying equipment
  • Personal computers
  • Analog-to-digital converters
  • Microphones
  • Microfilm readers
  • Computer inkjet printers
  • Computer laser printers