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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Canoe Builder” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Canoe Builder” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Canoe Builder” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Estimating software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Job costing software
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Web browser software
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Quicken
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • VirtualBoss
  • Procore AI
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Power drills
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Templates
  • Push sticks
  • Squares
  • Framing squares
  • Hand planers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Spirit levels
  • Pump jacks
  • Morticers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Cat's paws
  • Work boots
  • Dado blades
  • Marking gauges
  • Nail guns
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Rotary hammers
  • Brad tackers
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Snips
  • Layout bars
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Draw chisels
  • Joiners
  • Fold-up ladders
  • A-frame levels
  • Carpentry transits
  • Lock levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Personal computers
  • Pencil compasses
  • Shapers
  • Wood chisels
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Notebook computers
  • Table saws
  • Ladders
  • Protractors
  • Power saws
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Ladder levelers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Magnetized levels
  • Hand saws
  • Pry bars
  • Pettibones
  • Bubble levels
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Respirators
  • Hammers
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Hammer staplers
  • Truck cranes
  • Calipers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Caulking guns
  • Bullseye levels
  • Electric planers
  • Portable routers
  • Air compressors
  • Bandsaws
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Plumb bobs
  • Level jigs
  • Radial arm saws
  • Baluster jigs
  • Auger bits
  • Measuring tapes
  • Cordless drills
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Plumb lines
  • Disc grinders
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Screw jacks
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Mortise jigs
  • Drum sanders
  • Power staple guns
  • Theodolites
  • Utility knives
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Trim routers
  • Water levels
  • Digital levels
  • Power generators
  • Moisture meters
  • Circular saws
  • Beam saws
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Plunge routers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Rulers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Drill presses
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Planes
  • Power routers
  • Right triangles
  • Laser levels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Belt sanders
  • Band saws
  • Extension ladders
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Mini pry bars
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Combination squares
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Saw guides
  • Transit levels
  • Miter saws
  • Framing hammers
  • Hard hats
  • Power sanders
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Handheld calculators
  • Wood files

Alternative Job Titles