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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “House Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“House Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“House Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

Technologies & Software

  • Quicken
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Procore AI
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Job costing software
  • Estimating software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Web browser software
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Bosch Punch List
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Brad tackers
  • Water levels
  • Power generators
  • Hammers
  • Pettibones
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Digital levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Morticers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Mortise jigs
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Theodolites
  • Pencil compasses
  • Sledgehammers
  • Radial arm saws
  • Calipers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Laser levels
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Carpentry transits
  • Ladder jacks
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Magnetized levels
  • Nail guns
  • Push sticks
  • Squares
  • Plunge routers
  • Utility knives
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Circular saws
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Right triangles
  • A-frame levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Cordless drills
  • Table saws
  • Bullseye levels
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Mini pry bars
  • Portable routers
  • Planes
  • Protractors
  • Screw jacks
  • Rabbet planes
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Rulers
  • Extension ladders
  • Power drills
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Auger bits
  • Plumb bobs
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Power staple guns
  • Work boots
  • Torpedo levels
  • Transit levels
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Draw chisels
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Rotary hammers
  • Templates
  • Pry bars
  • Hand planers
  • Spirit levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Air compressors
  • Compound miter saws
  • Framing squares
  • Hand saws
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Baluster jigs
  • Hammer staplers
  • Lock levels
  • Truck cranes
  • Power saws
  • Power routers
  • Wood files
  • Layout bars
  • Hard hats
  • Ladders
  • Personal computers
  • Cat's paws
  • Saw guides
  • Framing hammers
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Band saws
  • Electric planers
  • Snips
  • Level jigs
  • Plumb lines
  • Drum sanders
  • Disc grinders
  • Caulking guns
  • Shapers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Belt sanders
  • Pump jacks
  • Respirators
  • Bubble levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Joiners
  • Combination squares
  • Miter saws
  • Dado blades
  • Trim routers
  • Handheld calculators
  • Drill presses
  • Beam saws
  • Power sanders
  • Wood chisels
  • Marking gauges

Alternative Job Titles