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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “House Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“House Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“House Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

Technologies & Software

  • Estimating software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Web browser software
  • Job costing software
  • Buildots AI
  • VirtualBoss
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Quicken
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Procore AI
  • Pump jacks
  • Wood chisels
  • Plumb lines
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Power staple guns
  • Bubble levels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Compound miter saws
  • Framing squares
  • Trim routers
  • Water levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Protractors
  • Pry bars
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Power sanders
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Power generators
  • Hard hats
  • Auger bits
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Truck cranes
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Theodolites
  • Carpentry transits
  • Table saws
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Plumb bobs
  • Laser levels
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Shapers
  • Brad tackers
  • Framing hammers
  • Templates
  • Belt sanders
  • Pencil compasses
  • Screw jacks
  • Wood files
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Moisture meters
  • Push sticks
  • Baluster jigs
  • Work boots
  • Ladders
  • Hand saws
  • Morticers
  • Combination squares
  • Level jigs
  • Notebook computers
  • Sledgehammers
  • Joiners
  • Dado blades
  • Power saws
  • Transit levels
  • Magnetized levels
  • Calipers
  • Measuring tapes
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Personal computers
  • Random orbital sanders
  • A-frame levels
  • Lock levels
  • Band saws
  • Air compressors
  • Handheld calculators
  • Mini pry bars
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Cat's paws
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Nail guns
  • Plunge routers
  • Right triangles
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Radial arm saws
  • Impact wrenches
  • Miter saws
  • Portable routers
  • Circular saws
  • Hammers
  • Squares
  • Snips
  • Hammer staplers
  • Digital levels
  • Cordless drills
  • Power routers
  • Respirators
  • Torpedo levels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Drill presses
  • Caulking guns
  • Rabbet planes
  • Saw guides
  • Draw chisels
  • Power drills
  • Mortise jigs
  • Utility knives
  • Rulers
  • Electric planers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Pettibones
  • Spirit levels
  • Layout bars
  • Hand planers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Ladder jacks
  • Marking gauges
  • Planes
  • Bullseye levels
  • Rotary hammers
  • Drum sanders
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Beam saws
  • Disc grinders
  • Extension ladders
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Beam-lifting jacks

Alternative Job Titles