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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Commercial Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Commercial Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Web browser software
  • Quicken
  • Job costing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Word
  • Procore AI
  • Estimating software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Buildots AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Hammers
  • Auger bits
  • Push sticks
  • Wood files
  • Rotary hammers
  • Digital levels
  • Torpedo levels
  • Hand planers
  • Table saws
  • Compound miter saws
  • Baluster jigs
  • Notebook computers
  • Dado blades
  • Measuring tapes
  • Calipers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Radial arm saws
  • Hammer staplers
  • Caulking guns
  • Miter saws
  • Mortise jigs
  • Bandsaws
  • Ladders
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Power routers
  • Moisture meters
  • Combination squares
  • Personal computers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Belt sanders
  • Screw jacks
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Power staple guns
  • Wood chisels
  • Sledgehammers
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Snips
  • Framing squares
  • Impact wrenches
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Disc grinders
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Band saws
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Nail guns
  • Rabbet planes
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Shapers
  • Respirators
  • Carpentry transits
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Planes
  • Portable routers
  • Drum sanders
  • Cat's paws
  • Power saws
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Morticers
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Draw chisels
  • Hand saws
  • Framing hammers
  • Joiners
  • Extension ladders
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Transit levels
  • Level jigs
  • Right triangles
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Plumb lines
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Bubble levels
  • Water levels
  • Layout bars
  • Theodolites
  • Plumb bobs
  • Bullseye levels
  • Power sanders
  • Power drills
  • Power generators
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Pencil compasses
  • Cordless drills
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Pettibones
  • Pump jacks
  • Pry bars
  • Trim routers
  • Plunge routers
  • Hard hats
  • Rulers
  • Laser levels
  • Circular saws
  • Truck cranes
  • Beam saws
  • Brad tackers
  • A-frame levels
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Spirit levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Electric planers
  • Marking gauges
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Ladder levelers
  • Air compressors
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Ladder jacks
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Squares
  • Handheld calculators
  • Drill presses
  • Mini pry bars
  • Templates
  • Saw guides
  • Utility knives
  • Lock levels
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Protractors
  • Magnetized levels
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Work boots

Alternative Job Titles