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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Commercial Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Commercial Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Commercial Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

Technologies & Software

  • Job costing software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Procore AI
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Buildots AI
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • VirtualBoss
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Estimating software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Quicken
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web browser software
  • Protractors
  • Portable routers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Push sticks
  • Shapers
  • Draw chisels
  • Disc grinders
  • Marking gauges
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Respirators
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Air compressors
  • Level jigs
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Planes
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Band saws
  • Laser levels
  • Rulers
  • Framing squares
  • Personal computers
  • Transit levels
  • Table saws
  • Auger bits
  • Templates
  • Power drills
  • Pencil compasses
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Bullseye levels
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Squares
  • Morticers
  • Hand planers
  • Cordless drills
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Theodolites
  • Plumb lines
  • Magnetized levels
  • Hammer staplers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Hammers
  • Bubble levels
  • Power sanders
  • Rotary hammers
  • A-frame levels
  • Carpentry transits
  • Wood files
  • Ladders
  • Circular saws
  • Pettibones
  • Electric planers
  • Nail guns
  • Compound miter saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Digital levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Trim routers
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Plunge routers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Torpedo levels
  • Radial arm saws
  • Power generators
  • Brad tackers
  • Miter saws
  • Dado blades
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Plumb bobs
  • Screw jacks
  • Snips
  • Layout bars
  • Hand saws
  • Power staple guns
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Water levels
  • Truck cranes
  • Mortise jigs
  • Handheld calculators
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Belt sanders
  • Moisture meters
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Pump jacks
  • Ladder jacks
  • Wood chisels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Cat's paws
  • Work boots
  • Hard hats
  • Sledgehammers
  • Drill presses
  • Ladder levelers
  • Right triangles
  • Power routers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Lock levels
  • Saw guides
  • Combination squares
  • Utility knives
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Power saws
  • Rabbet planes
  • Mini pry bars
  • Spirit levels
  • Pry bars
  • Calipers
  • Framing hammers
  • Beam saws
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Baluster jigs
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Caulking guns
  • Joiners
  • Extension ladders
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Drum sanders

Alternative Job Titles