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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Refinisher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Refinisher” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Refinisher” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Procore AI
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Word
  • Buildots AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Estimating software
  • Web browser software
  • Quicken
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Job costing software
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Ladder jacks
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Joiners
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Truck cranes
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Plumb bobs
  • Compound miter saws
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Hammers
  • Power routers
  • Power sanders
  • Mortise jigs
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Planes
  • Hand planers
  • Belt sanders
  • Utility knives
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Laser levels
  • Measuring tapes
  • Bandsaws
  • Cordless drills
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Transit levels
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Pump jacks
  • Dado blades
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Handheld calculators
  • Pencil compasses
  • Rulers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Hammer staplers
  • Impact wrenches
  • Personal computers
  • Rabbet planes
  • Level jigs
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Lock levels
  • Power saws
  • Extension ladders
  • Beam saws
  • Mini pry bars
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Drum sanders
  • Radial arm saws
  • Caulking guns
  • Squares
  • Sledgehammers
  • Circular saws
  • Power drills
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Morticers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Disc grinders
  • Screw jacks
  • Wood chisels
  • Digital levels
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Hand saws
  • Band saws
  • Air compressors
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Rotary hammers
  • Layout bars
  • Carpentry transits
  • Miter saws
  • Trim routers
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Templates
  • Portable routers
  • Snips
  • Calipers
  • Pry bars
  • Plumb lines
  • Shapers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Ladders
  • Bubble levels
  • Work boots
  • Wood files
  • Push sticks
  • Magnetized levels
  • Spirit levels
  • Torpedo levels
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Drill presses
  • Protractors
  • Saw guides
  • Marking gauges
  • Respirators
  • Auger bits
  • Water levels
  • Moisture meters
  • Power staple guns
  • Table saws
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Framing hammers
  • Theodolites
  • Baluster jigs
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Notebook computers
  • Brad tackers
  • Bullseye levels
  • Framing squares
  • A-frame levels
  • Combination squares
  • Hard hats
  • Draw chisels
  • Pettibones
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Nail guns
  • Power generators
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Right triangles
  • Cat's paws
  • Electric planers
  • Plunge routers

Alternative Job Titles