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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Refinisher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Refinisher” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Refinisher” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Job costing software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Microsoft Word
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Buildots AI
  • Quicken
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Procore AI
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Estimating software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Web browser software
  • Draw chisels
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Circular saws
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Band saws
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Handheld calculators
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Dado blades
  • Power generators
  • Combination squares
  • Trim routers
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Power staple guns
  • Power routers
  • Personal computers
  • Snips
  • Auger bits
  • Water levels
  • Table saws
  • Right triangles
  • Hand planers
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Drill presses
  • Saw guides
  • Rabbet planes
  • Truck cranes
  • Morticers
  • Ladder levelers
  • Power saws
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Layout bars
  • Power sanders
  • Plumb lines
  • Compound miter saws
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Hard hats
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Cordless drills
  • Nail guns
  • Cat's paws
  • Screw jacks
  • Rulers
  • Shapers
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Belt sanders
  • Extension ladders
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Laser levels
  • Ladder jacks
  • Baluster jigs
  • Carpentry transits
  • A-frame levels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Transit levels
  • Plunge routers
  • Hammer staplers
  • Air compressors
  • Radial arm saws
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Hammers
  • Push sticks
  • Pettibones
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Electric planers
  • Disc grinders
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Respirators
  • Calipers
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Miter saws
  • Planes
  • Lock levels
  • Hand saws
  • Templates
  • Work boots
  • Magnetized levels
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Framing hammers
  • Wood files
  • Caulking guns
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Protractors
  • Impact wrenches
  • Sledgehammers
  • Beam saws
  • Utility knives
  • Rotary hammers
  • Notebook computers
  • Moisture meters
  • Joiners
  • Ladders
  • Framing squares
  • Wood chisels
  • Spirit levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Mini pry bars
  • Mortise jigs
  • Digital levels
  • Brad tackers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Drum sanders
  • Bandsaws
  • Squares
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Theodolites
  • Pry bars
  • Bullseye levels
  • Bubble levels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Marking gauges
  • Measuring tapes
  • Power drills
  • Portable routers
  • Pencil compasses
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Pump jacks
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Level jigs

Alternative Job Titles