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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Refinisher” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Refinisher” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Refinisher” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

Technologies & Software

  • Procore AI
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Web browser software
  • Estimating software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • VirtualBoss
  • Quicken
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Buildots AI
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Job costing software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Band saws
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Squares
  • Handheld calculators
  • Screw jacks
  • Work boots
  • Wood files
  • Magnetized levels
  • Power generators
  • Power drills
  • Utility knives
  • Bullseye levels
  • Water levels
  • Snips
  • Theodolites
  • Layout bars
  • Mini pry bars
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Pettibones
  • Transit levels
  • Hammers
  • Notebook computers
  • Ladders
  • Personal computers
  • Bubble levels
  • Brad tackers
  • Disc grinders
  • Miter saws
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Dado blades
  • Drum sanders
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Drill presses
  • Torpedo levels
  • Power saws
  • Impact wrenches
  • Respirators
  • Extension ladders
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Plumb lines
  • A-frame levels
  • Rulers
  • Morticers
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Nail guns
  • Measuring tapes
  • Combination squares
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Protractors
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Marking gauges
  • Plunge routers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Hard hats
  • Sledgehammers
  • Push sticks
  • Air compressors
  • Radial arm saws
  • Templates
  • Rotary hammers
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Spirit levels
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Portable routers
  • Framing hammers
  • Planes
  • Ladder levelers
  • Wood chisels
  • Hand saws
  • Electric planers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Table saws
  • Pencil compasses
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Draw chisels
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Joiners
  • Moisture meters
  • Cat's paws
  • Hammer staplers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Hand planers
  • Pry bars
  • Carpentry transits
  • Saw guides
  • Level jigs
  • Truck cranes
  • Power staple guns
  • Mortise jigs
  • Baluster jigs
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Caulking guns
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Right triangles
  • Rabbet planes
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Cordless drills
  • Compound miter saws
  • Calipers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Belt sanders
  • Digital levels
  • Framing squares
  • Laser levels
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Power sanders
  • Auger bits
  • Lock levels
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Circular saws
  • Power routers
  • Beam saws
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Shapers
  • Trim routers
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Pump jacks
  • Plumb bobs
  • Bandsaws

Alternative Job Titles