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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Timberman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Timberman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Timberman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

Technologies & Software

  • Buildots AI
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Procore AI
  • Quicken
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Web browser software
  • Job costing software
  • VirtualBoss
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Estimating software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Plumb lines
  • Compound miter saws
  • Snips
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Extension ladders
  • Framing squares
  • Circular saws
  • Power routers
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Bandsaws
  • Templates
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Joiners
  • Plumb bobs
  • Handheld calculators
  • Drill presses
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Rabbet planes
  • Plunge routers
  • Pry bars
  • Laser levels
  • Auger bits
  • Push sticks
  • Mortise jigs
  • Dado blades
  • Layout bars
  • Hard hats
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Power staple guns
  • Work boots
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Nail guns
  • Right triangles
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Cat's paws
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Bubble levels
  • Portable routers
  • Band saws
  • Hammer staplers
  • Torpedo levels
  • Squares
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Belt sanders
  • Baluster jigs
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Mini pry bars
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Power sanders
  • Framing hammers
  • Hand planers
  • Hand saws
  • Power saws
  • Draw chisels
  • Planes
  • Moisture meters
  • Marking gauges
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Water levels
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Brad tackers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Power drills
  • Hammers
  • Rotary hammers
  • Drum sanders
  • Spirit levels
  • Measuring tapes
  • A-frame levels
  • Notebook computers
  • Wood files
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Impact wrenches
  • Sledgehammers
  • Caulking guns
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Rulers
  • Table saws
  • Pettibones
  • Utility knives
  • Radial arm saws
  • Morticers
  • Respirators
  • Power generators
  • Miter saws
  • Beam saws
  • Lock levels
  • Shapers
  • Theodolites
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Level jigs
  • Magnetized levels
  • Screw jacks
  • Carpentry transits
  • Combination squares
  • Saw guides
  • Calipers
  • Transit levels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Trim routers
  • Disc grinders
  • Digital levels
  • Protractors
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Cordless drills
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Pencil compasses
  • Air compressors
  • Wood chisels
  • Personal computers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Electric planers
  • Ladders
  • Truck cranes
  • Pump jacks
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Bullseye levels

Alternative Job Titles