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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Timberman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Timberman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Timberman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Gemini for Workspace
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Estimating software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Quicken
  • VirtualBoss
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Buildots AI
  • Procore AI
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Web browser software
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Job costing software
  • Ladder jacks
  • Dado blades
  • Calipers
  • Pry bars
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Cordless drills
  • Transit levels
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Screw jacks
  • Digital levels
  • Rulers
  • Squares
  • Power drills
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Plumb bobs
  • Measuring tapes
  • Ladders
  • Shapers
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Nail guns
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Lock levels
  • Mini pry bars
  • Rotary hammers
  • Planes
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Protractors
  • Impact wrenches
  • Draw chisels
  • Plunge routers
  • Snips
  • Caulking guns
  • Torpedo levels
  • Level jigs
  • Utility knives
  • Truck cranes
  • Bullseye levels
  • Bandsaws
  • Carpentry transits
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Circular saws
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Trim routers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Rabbet planes
  • Framing squares
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Power generators
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Pettibones
  • Ladder levelers
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Plumb lines
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Moisture meters
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Hand saws
  • Electric planers
  • Bubble levels
  • Respirators
  • Theodolites
  • Auger bits
  • Wood chisels
  • Table saws
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Power routers
  • Belt sanders
  • Power sanders
  • Templates
  • Combination squares
  • Air compressors
  • Layout bars
  • Spirit levels
  • Morticers
  • Right triangles
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • A-frame levels
  • Cat's paws
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Hard hats
  • Wood files
  • Drum sanders
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Work boots
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Power saws
  • Drill presses
  • Mortise jigs
  • Baluster jigs
  • Hammers
  • Pencil compasses
  • Brad tackers
  • Band saws
  • Laser levels
  • Saw guides
  • Handheld calculators
  • Hammer staplers
  • Extension ladders
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Joiners
  • Power staple guns
  • Magnetized levels
  • Compound miter saws
  • Notebook computers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Push sticks
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Radial arm saws
  • Disc grinders
  • Miter saws
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Pump jacks
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Framing hammers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Sledgehammers
  • Beam saws
  • Personal computers
  • Portable routers
  • Water levels
  • Marking gauges
  • Hand planers

Alternative Job Titles