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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Residential Carpenter” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #398 of 702. Estimated risk: 72.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

42%

“Residential Carpenter” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 42% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

59%

“Residential Carpenter” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 59% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Carpenters, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

Avg. Annual Salary $64,040
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.79
Available Jobs (US) 697,740
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Carpenters #47-2031
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Carpenters”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Construct forms or chutes for pouring concrete.

  • Install rough door and window frames, subflooring, fixtures, or temporary supports in structures undergoing construction or repair.

  • Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.

  • Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.

  • Shape or cut materials to specified measurements, using hand tools, machines, or power saws.

  • Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.

  • Examine structural timbers and supports to detect decay, and replace timbers as required, using hand tools, nuts, and bolts.

  • Erect scaffolding or ladders for assembling structures above ground level.

  • Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

  • Perform minor plumbing, welding, or concrete mixing work.

  • Assemble and fasten materials to make frameworks or props, using hand tools and wood screws, nails, dowel pins, or glue.

  • Work with or remove hazardous material.

  • Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.

  • Select and order lumber or other required materials.

  • Bore boltholes in timber, masonry or concrete walls, using power drill.

  • Anchor and brace forms and other structures in place, using nails, bolts, anchor rods, steel cables, planks, wedges, and timbers.

  • Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.

  • Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

  • Dig or direct digging of post holes and set poles to support structures.

  • Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.

  • Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

  • Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.

  • Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.

  • Inspect ceiling or floor tile, wall coverings, siding, glass, or woodwork to detect broken or damaged structures.

  • Arrange for subcontractors to deal with special areas, such as heating or electrical wiring work.

  • Fill cracks or other defects in plaster or plasterboard and sand patch, using patching plaster, trowel, and sanding tool.

  • Maintain job records and schedule work crew.

  • Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.

  • Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Procore AI
  • Web page creation and editing software
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • Turtle Creek Software Goldenseal
  • Microsoft Word
  • Craftsman CD Estimator
  • Wilhelm Publishing Threshold
  • Microsoft Windows
  • VirtualBoss
  • Bosch Punch List
  • Intuit QuickBooks
  • Job costing software
  • Quicken
  • Renaissance MasterCarpenter
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Autodesk Construction AI
  • Gemini for Workspace
  • Drawing and drafting software
  • Buildots AI
  • Estimating software
  • Web browser software
  • Dado blades
  • Extension ladders
  • Power generators
  • Morticers
  • Wood files
  • Measuring tapes
  • Level jigs
  • Shapers
  • Laser levels
  • Non-conducting ladders
  • Pencil compasses
  • Personal computers
  • Belt sanders
  • Pry bars
  • Squares
  • Laser measuring tools
  • Mini pry bars
  • Draw chisels
  • Caulking guns
  • Combination squares
  • Miter saws
  • Rulers
  • Lock levels
  • Portable routers
  • Hammer staplers
  • Chainsaw jigs
  • Carpenters' levels
  • Rough terrain forklifts
  • Right triangles
  • Drill presses
  • Brad tackers
  • Pump jacks
  • Bandsaws
  • Worm-drive saws
  • Framing hammers
  • Hammers
  • Compound miter saws
  • Planes
  • Pneumatic nail guns
  • Truck cranes
  • Baluster jigs
  • Carpentry transits
  • Radial arm saws
  • Table saws
  • Moisture meters
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Calibrating electronic levels
  • Screw jacks
  • Infrared laser levels
  • Drum sanders
  • Fold-up ladders
  • Auger bits
  • Reciprocating saws
  • Fall arrest systems
  • Beam saws
  • Hard hats
  • Power sanders
  • Sliding t-bevels
  • Transit levels
  • Hand saws
  • Rabbet planes
  • Plumb lines
  • Joiners
  • Digital levels
  • Ladder levelers
  • Self-stopping levels
  • Disc grinders
  • Cordless drills
  • Circular saws
  • Handheld calculators
  • Visible beam laser levels
  • Theodolites
  • Power drills
  • Bullseye levels
  • Ladders
  • Phillips head screwdrivers
  • Handheld rotary tools
  • Sledgehammers
  • A-frame levels
  • Framing squares
  • Water levels
  • Multi-tip screwdrivers
  • Templates
  • Needlenose pliers
  • Beam-lifting jacks
  • Electric impact wrenches
  • Bubble levels
  • Trim routers
  • Plumb bobs
  • Electric planers
  • Saw guides
  • Respirators
  • Torpedo levels
  • Marking gauges
  • Nail guns
  • Biscuit joiners
  • Impact wrenches
  • Protractors
  • Power routers
  • Cross-curve tape measures
  • Utility knives
  • Rotary hammers
  • Air compressors
  • Push sticks
  • Power staple guns
  • Work boots
  • Wall-lifting jacks
  • Plunge routers
  • Layout bars
  • Notebook computers
  • Spirit levels
  • Calipers
  • Snips
  • Personal digital assistants PDA
  • Random orbital sanders
  • Cat's paws
  • Pettibones
  • Mortise jigs
  • Hand planers
  • Ladder jacks
  • Power saws
  • Chain saw jigs
  • Wood chisels
  • Story pole tape measures
  • Magnetized levels
  • Band saws

Alternative Job Titles